Compendium › Surge PRO › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge PRO's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+38.78%
Last Month Return
$29,427.06
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$21,203.91
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:49:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score PRO Scored May 6, 2026

73
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.0/25
Win Rate
3.9/15
Profit Factor
8.9/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 73.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 72.9

30-Day Momentum

55
+50.0%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$21,203.91
Current Value
$29,427.06
Period P&L
$8,223.15
Max Drawdown
-19.2%
Sharpe Ratio
4.82

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
3 / 0
Best Trade
+18.92%
Worst Trade
+12.26%
Avg Trade Return
+14.63%
Avg Hold Time
8.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$146,589.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,223.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,223.15
Gross Return
+38.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $21,203.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $348.28 56 $19,503.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 56 $23,194.36 $23,314.83 +$3,690.68
(+18.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $436.00 53 $23,108.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $489.45 53 $25,940.59 $26,147.42 +$2,832.59
(+12.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $495.80 52 $25,781.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $558.87 52 $29,061.24 $29,427.06 +$3,279.64
(+12.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $29,427.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$19,427.06
Total Return: +194.27%
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