Compendium › Surge PRO › ORCL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ORCL
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge PRO's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-07 to present • 4 trades in period

+16.12%
Last Month Return
$18,376.87
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$15,825.55
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:04:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.4/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
1.6/15
Profit Factor
3.9/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 39.9/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 38.3

30-Day Momentum

41
+16.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.6 Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,825.55
Current Value
$18,376.87
Period P&L
$2,551.32
Max Drawdown
-21.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.50

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+12.41%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
+4.13%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$130,713.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,551.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,551.32
Gross Return
+16.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $15,825.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $151.00 104 $15,704.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:45am ET $144.91 104 $15,070.64 $15,192.19 $-633.36
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $166.59 91 $15,159.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $187.07 91 $17,023.82 $17,056.33 +$1,864.14
(+12.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $179.95 94 $16,915.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $172.48 94 $16,213.12 $16,354.15 $-702.18
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
4 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $166.35 98 $16,302.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $186.99 98 $18,325.02 $18,376.87 +$2,022.72
(+12.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,376.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,376.87
Total Return: +83.77%
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