Compendium › Surge PRO › RIOT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIOT
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge PRO's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-08 to present • 3 trades in period

+30.31%
Last Month Return
$23,924.96
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$18,359.43
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-08 01:06:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.36%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.3/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 63.6/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 61.9

30-Day Momentum

52
+30.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
3.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 84.8 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-08 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$18,359.43
Current Value
$23,924.96
Period P&L
$5,565.53
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.92

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+21.47%
Worst Trade
-4.25%
Avg Trade Return
+9.75%
Avg Hold Time
7.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$122,791.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,565.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,565.53
Gross Return
+30.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+30.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $18,359.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $15.49 1,185 $18,355.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:00pm ET $17.35 1,185 $20,565.67 $20,569.45 +$2,210.02
(+12.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.53 1,173 $20,562.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $16.78 1,173 $19,688.80 $19,695.56 $-873.89
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
3 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $18.58 1,060 $19,694.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $22.57 1,060 $23,924.20 $23,924.96 +$4,229.40
(+21.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,924.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,924.96
Total Return: +139.25%
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