AMD Surge PRO's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 54 trades in period
+134.91%
Last Year Return
$32,832.68
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$13,976.52
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score PRO Scored May 6, 2026
75
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.6/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
11.6/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality
77.3/100
× Confidence 0.96
= 74.6
30-Day Momentum
55
+49.9%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,532
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$13,976.52
Current Value
$32,832.68
Period P&L
$18,856.16
Max Drawdown
-21.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
30 /
24
Best Trade
+15.64%
Worst Trade
-5.81%
Avg Trade Return
+1.68%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$160,694.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$18,856.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$18,856.16
Gross Return
+134.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+134.91%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $13,976.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 1:00pm ET | $112.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $118.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,736.66 |
+$760.14 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 1:00pm ET | $115.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 3:40pm ET | $114.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,589.34 |
$-147.32 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 1:35pm ET | $113.96 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 11:40am ET | $117.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,984.86 |
+$395.52 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $117.39 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $115.92 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,798.07 |
$-186.79 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2025 1:00pm ET | $119.13 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 10:00am ET | $116.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,530.23 |
$-267.84 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2025 3:25pm ET | $121.94 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $123.25 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,686.12 |
+$155.89 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2025 1:00pm ET | $126.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2025 10:15am ET | $130.42 | 0 | $0.00 | $15,097.65 |
+$411.53 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 1:00pm ET | $137.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 10:15am ET | $140.68 | 0 | $0.00 | $15,481.00 |
+$383.35 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $142.94 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 1:30pm ET | $143.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $15,551.20 |
+$70.20 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 1:00pm ET | $139.26 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 3, 2025 12:20pm ET | $137.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $15,386.18 |
$-165.02 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2025 1:05pm ET | $138.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2025 1:35pm ET | $138.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $15,470.18 |
+$84.00 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 11, 2025 1:00pm ET | $146.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $143.51 | 0 | $0.00 | $15,136.28 |
$-333.90 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $147.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $154.69 | 0 | $0.00 | $15,920.66 |
+$784.38 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2025 2:20pm ET | $157.26 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 2:50pm ET | $159.03 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,099.42 |
+$178.76 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 2:40pm ET | $159.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 11:40am ET | $163.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,523.62 |
+$424.20 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $166.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 10:00am ET | $174.36 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,335.93 |
+$812.31 (+4.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 1:00pm ET | $179.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2025 3:00pm ET | $177.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,145.85 |
$-190.08 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 1:25pm ET | $177.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 10:15am ET | $175.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,970.17 |
$-175.68 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 1:00pm ET | $175.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 2:50pm ET | $173.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,780.10 |
$-190.07 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 1:35pm ET | $173.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2025 10:00am ET | $184.01 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,750.66 |
+$970.56 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 1:00pm ET | $167.38 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $164.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,421.00 |
$-329.66 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 1:00pm ET | $167.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2025 1:30pm ET | $167.53 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,460.62 |
+$39.62 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 1:40pm ET | $160.96 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 10:00am ET | $153.04 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,605.26 |
$-855.36 (-4.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 2:00pm ET | $154.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $160.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,212.48 |
+$607.22 (+3.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 1:00pm ET | $159.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 3:35pm ET | $158.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,038.07 |
$-174.41 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 2:15pm ET | $160.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 2:45pm ET | $160.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,028.52 |
$-9.55 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 1:00pm ET | $155.43 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 10:35am ET | $159.78 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,502.67 |
+$474.15 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $160.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 2:00pm ET | $158.69 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,256.43 |
$-246.24 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 3:50pm ET | $161.45 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $169.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,090.72 |
+$834.29 (+4.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 1:00pm ET | $227.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 2:05pm ET | $234.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,605.08 |
+$514.36 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 1:00pm ET | $242.31 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $237.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,203.04 |
$-402.04 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 1:45pm ET | $235.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $251.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,413.56 |
+$1,210.52 (+6.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 3:35pm ET | $252.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 3:35pm ET | $258.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,902.19 |
+$488.63 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 3:50pm ET | $259.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 10:20am ET | $264.44 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,262.81 |
+$360.62 (+1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $256.34 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $241.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,087.05 |
$-1,175.76 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $251.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 1:40pm ET | $248.24 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,875.31 |
$-211.74 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 3:25pm ET | $204.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 10:05am ET | $210.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,505.63 |
+$630.32 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:00pm ET | $213.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $217.19 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,806.00 |
+$300.37 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 1:50pm ET | $220.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 11:10am ET | $218.08 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,572.82 |
$-233.18 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $217.59 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:10am ET | $215.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,369.40 |
$-203.42 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 1:00pm ET | $222.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $220.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,149.79 |
$-219.61 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 1:35pm ET | $218.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET | $216.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,937.51 |
$-212.28 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 1:00pm ET | $213.13 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 1:30pm ET | $214.53 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,060.71 |
+$123.20 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:00pm ET | $209.31 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $220.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,086.28 |
+$1,025.57 (+5.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:00pm ET | $221.69 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $236.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $21,434.20 |
+$1,347.92 (+6.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 1:00pm ET | $237.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $235.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $21,187.15 |
$-247.05 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $247.93 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 11:45am ET | $255.34 | 0 | $0.00 | $21,817.42 |
+$630.27 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $254.87 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $263.21 | 0 | $0.00 | $22,526.16 |
+$708.74 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $248.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:30pm ET | $245.91 | 0 | $0.00 | $22,282.26 |
$-243.90 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $208.38 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 2:15pm ET | $206.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $22,058.60 |
$-223.66 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $215.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $214.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $21,898.46 |
$-160.14 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $197.85 | 110 | $21,763.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $225.40 | 110 | $24,793.99 | $24,928.95 |
+$3,030.49 (+13.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21d held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.37 | 107 | $24,863.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $264.93 | 107 | $28,347.51 | $28,412.87 |
+$3,483.92 (+14.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $291.27 | 97 | $28,253.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $336.83 | 97 | $32,672.99 | $32,832.68 |
+$4,419.81 (+15.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$32,832.68
Net Profit/Loss:
+$22,832.68
Total Return:
+228.33%