ISRG Surge PRO's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 41 trades in period
+6.14%
Last Year Return
$10,293.12
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$9,697.78
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
4.9/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality
11.4/100
× Confidence 0.92
= 10.5
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
21,925
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$9,697.78
Current Value
$10,293.12
Period P&L
$595.34
Max Drawdown
-12.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
18 /
23
Best Trade
+16.63%
Worst Trade
-4.72%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$65,125.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$595.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$595.34
Gross Return
+6.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.14%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $9,697.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 1:00pm ET | $562.61 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $556.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,587.36 |
$-110.42 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2025 2:10pm ET | $555.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 2:40pm ET | $556.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,605.04 |
+$17.68 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 2:40pm ET | $553.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 3:10pm ET | $550.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,558.63 |
$-46.41 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2025 1:00pm ET | $559.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 1:35pm ET | $562.16 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,609.43 |
+$50.80 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 3:20pm ET | $512.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 3:50pm ET | $522.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,785.74 |
+$176.31 (+1.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $522.85 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 10:20am ET | $536.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,036.84 |
+$251.10 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 1:00pm ET | $542.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2025 3:10pm ET | $536.49 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,934.10 |
$-102.74 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2025 3:00pm ET | $543.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2025 11:05am ET | $537.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,824.21 |
$-109.89 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $518.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 10:10am ET | $513.01 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,730.16 |
$-94.05 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 3:15pm ET | $515.31 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 3:45pm ET | $517.51 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,769.85 |
+$39.69 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 1:00pm ET | $475.61 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 1:30pm ET | $471.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,691.05 |
$-78.80 (-0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 2:15pm ET | $470.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 2:45pm ET | $472.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,737.25 |
+$46.20 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 1:00pm ET | $452.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 10:00am ET | $465.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,004.37 |
+$267.12 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 1:35pm ET | $464.81 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 2:05pm ET | $468.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,090.93 |
+$86.56 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 2:10pm ET | $469.28 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 2:40pm ET | $466.56 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,033.71 |
$-57.22 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 1:00pm ET | $458.31 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $451.44 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,889.44 |
$-144.27 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 1:00pm ET | $445.29 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 1:30pm ET | $448.65 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,963.36 |
+$73.92 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 1:35pm ET | $449.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2025 2:05pm ET | $445.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,885.37 |
$-77.99 (-0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 1:00pm ET | $446.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:05am ET | $441.56 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,777.59 |
$-107.78 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 1:00pm ET | $440.28 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 10:20am ET | $451.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $10,030.37 |
+$252.78 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $453.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 1:30pm ET | $451.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,995.34 |
$-35.03 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2025 1:00pm ET | $448.99 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 1:30pm ET | $449.06 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,996.88 |
+$1.54 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 1:00pm ET | $437.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $432.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $9,894.47 |
$-102.41 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 1:00pm ET | $464.81 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $542.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,517.49 |
+$1,623.02 (+16.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 1:00pm ET | $546.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 1:30pm ET | $549.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,578.04 |
+$60.55 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 2:15pm ET | $549.49 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 12:40pm ET | $543.65 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,455.57 |
$-122.47 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $541.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 1:30pm ET | $536.19 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,353.82 |
$-101.75 (-0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $544.49 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:30am ET | $538.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,243.82 |
$-110.00 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 1:00pm ET | $560.35 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 1:30pm ET | $568.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,411.12 |
+$167.30 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 3:45pm ET | $576.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:15am ET | $573.40 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,360.48 |
$-50.64 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $575.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:30pm ET | $574.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,335.34 |
$-25.14 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 1:10pm ET | $572.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 1:40pm ET | $581.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,501.78 |
+$166.44 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 1:45pm ET | $581.32 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $574.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,371.44 |
$-130.34 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:45pm ET | $566.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $586.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,756.04 |
+$384.60 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $589.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET | $595.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,863.44 |
+$107.40 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $531.13 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET | $525.41 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,737.69 |
$-125.75 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:05pm ET | $531.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $525.81 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,613.39 |
$-124.30 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $492.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 2:45pm ET | $497.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,738.28 |
+$124.89 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.14 | 24 | $11,715.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $468.20 | 24 | $11,236.78 | $11,259.58 |
$-478.70 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $469.99 | 23 | $10,809.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $450.06 | 23 | $10,351.38 | $10,801.19 |
$-458.39 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $467.84 | 23 | $10,760.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 1:00pm ET | $445.75 | 23 | $10,252.25 | $10,293.12 |
$-508.07 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,293.12
Net Profit/Loss:
+$293.12
Total Return:
+2.93%