MS Surge PRO's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 55 trades in period
+13.76%
Last Year Return
$13,362.70
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$11,746.40
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
40
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
15.1/35
Total Return
12.8/25
Win Rate
4.0/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality
42.3/100
× Confidence 0.93
= 39.5
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
22,367
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$11,746.40
Current Value
$13,362.70
Period P&L
$1,616.30
Max Drawdown
-7.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
55
Winners / Losers
26 /
29
Best Trade
+12.65%
Worst Trade
-4.16%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$49,098.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,616.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,616.30
Gross Return
+13.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.76%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 55 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $11,746.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 1:00pm ET | $129.18 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 1:30pm ET | $129.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,797.70 |
+$51.30 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 3:10pm ET | $130.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 3:40pm ET | $132.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,942.15 |
+$144.45 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 3:45pm ET | $132.52 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2025 10:15am ET | $131.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,884.55 |
$-57.60 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 1:00pm ET | $129.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2025 10:50am ET | $127.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,752.07 |
$-132.48 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 3:15pm ET | $128.14 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $126.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,618.76 |
$-133.31 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 2:15pm ET | $128.09 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 2:45pm ET | $128.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,698.86 |
+$80.10 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $130.04 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 6, 2025 1:30pm ET | $130.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,773.18 |
+$74.32 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2025 1:00pm ET | $131.40 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2025 10:00am ET | $129.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,566.25 |
$-206.93 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 3:00pm ET | $133.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 3:30pm ET | $136.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,796.72 |
+$230.47 (+2.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 1:50pm ET | $137.14 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 2:20pm ET | $139.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,041.82 |
+$245.10 (+2.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2025 2:30pm ET | $139.93 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2025 3:00pm ET | $140.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,094.28 |
+$52.46 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 3:40pm ET | $142.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2025 1:05pm ET | $143.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,127.04 |
+$32.76 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 2:10pm ET | $142.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2025 2:40pm ET | $142.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,087.14 |
$-39.90 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $143.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 10:40am ET | $142.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,963.66 |
$-123.48 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 2:25pm ET | $141.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 2:55pm ET | $140.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,863.28 |
$-100.38 (-0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 1:35pm ET | $141.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 2:05pm ET | $143.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,057.50 |
+$194.22 (+1.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2025 2:10pm ET | $143.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 2:40pm ET | $143.04 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,015.50 |
$-42.00 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 1:00pm ET | $141.48 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 10:40am ET | $139.91 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,883.62 |
$-131.88 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 1:00pm ET | $143.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 1:30pm ET | $144.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,967.45 |
+$83.83 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 1:00pm ET | $147.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2025 12:45pm ET | $145.68 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,811.73 |
$-155.72 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2025 1:30pm ET | $148.02 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 10:15am ET | $146.45 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,687.30 |
$-124.43 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2025 1:35pm ET | $144.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 10:40am ET | $147.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,992.67 |
+$305.37 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 1:00pm ET | $148.41 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 1:30pm ET | $147.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,944.27 |
$-48.40 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 3:10pm ET | $148.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 3:40pm ET | $149.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,077.07 |
+$132.80 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 3:45pm ET | $149.82 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2025 10:15am ET | $149.65 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,063.07 |
$-14.00 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 1:50pm ET | $150.28 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 10:00am ET | $148.18 | 0 | $0.00 | $11,895.47 |
$-167.60 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 1:00pm ET | $151.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 1:30pm ET | $154.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,075.65 |
+$180.18 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 1:00pm ET | $159.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 1:30pm ET | $160.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,138.24 |
+$62.59 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 1:35pm ET | $160.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2025 2:05pm ET | $160.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,117.99 |
$-20.25 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 2:10pm ET | $160.47 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 2:40pm ET | $160.45 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,116.49 |
$-1.50 (-0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 3:40pm ET | $158.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 10:10am ET | $160.20 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,218.33 |
+$101.84 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 1:00pm ET | $162.38 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 11:15am ET | $160.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,094.96 |
$-123.37 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 1:00pm ET | $163.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 1:30pm ET | $166.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,252.07 |
+$157.11 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $165.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $163.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,130.27 |
$-121.80 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 1:00pm ET | $166.58 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $171.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,499.63 |
+$369.36 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:00pm ET | $168.45 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $168.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,467.81 |
$-31.82 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $172.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 1:30pm ET | $175.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,680.21 |
+$212.40 (+1.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $177.05 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 1:30pm ET | $176.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,626.26 |
$-53.95 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:35pm ET | $180.06 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:05pm ET | $181.81 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,748.76 |
+$122.50 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 3:15pm ET | $181.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:20am ET | $179.72 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,601.06 |
$-147.70 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 1:00pm ET | $177.31 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 1:30pm ET | $179.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,789.92 |
+$188.86 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 1:35pm ET | $179.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 2:05pm ET | $180.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,805.18 |
+$15.26 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 1:00pm ET | $181.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 10:25am ET | $180.03 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,691.43 |
$-113.75 (-0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $179.93 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $187.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,229.38 |
+$537.95 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 1:00pm ET | $187.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $188.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,268.81 |
+$39.43 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 2:00pm ET | $188.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $185.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,050.41 |
$-218.40 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $187.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $182.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,750.26 |
$-300.15 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 1:00pm ET | $191.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 1:30pm ET | $191.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,727.16 |
$-23.10 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $185.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $183.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,593.54 |
$-133.62 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $185.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $183.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,455.18 |
$-138.36 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 3:00pm ET | $182.25 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $183.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,515.13 |
+$59.95 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:45pm ET | $182.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:15am ET | $183.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,557.97 |
+$42.84 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $182.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $180.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,376.41 |
$-181.56 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.34 | 74 | $12,235.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET | $158.46 | 74 | $11,726.04 | $11,867.29 |
$-509.12 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.93 | 73 | $11,820.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $182.41 | 73 | $13,316.29 | $13,362.70 |
+$1,495.41 (+12.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,362.70
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,362.70
Total Return:
+33.63%