Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 10:56:23

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

71
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.8/25
Win Rate
3.9/15
Profit Factor
8.3/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 73.6/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 71.2

30-Day Momentum

33
+14.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.8 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-38 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,146
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$14,644.62
Current Value
$34,402.09
Period P&L
$19,757.47
Max Drawdown
-19.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
60
Winners / Losers
34 / 26
Best Trade
+18.92%
Worst Trade
-9.77%
Avg Trade Return
+1.57%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$578,032.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$19,757.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$19,757.47
Gross Return
+134.91%
Net Return (after fees)
+134.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 60 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $14,644.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 2:20pm ET $123.16 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 10:00am ET $127.78 0 $0.00 $15,189.78 +$545.16
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 1:00pm ET $128.46 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 10:00am ET $126.24 0 $0.00 $14,927.82 $-261.96
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2025 1:00pm ET $122.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2025 3:35pm ET $121.31 0 $0.00 $14,775.36 $-152.46
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 1:00pm ET $125.17 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2025 10:05am ET $123.61 0 $0.00 $14,591.36 $-184.00
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 1:00pm ET $123.81 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 10:00am ET $118.82 0 $0.00 $14,007.53 $-583.83
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 1:40pm ET $112.30 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 10:00am ET $110.45 0 $0.00 $13,778.12 $-229.41
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 1:00pm ET $113.86 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 10:00am ET $110.74 0 $0.00 $13,400.60 $-377.52
(-2.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2025 1:00pm ET $107.70 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 1:30pm ET $108.90 0 $0.00 $13,549.40 +$148.80
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 2:35pm ET $108.72 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 10:00am ET $113.12 0 $0.00 $14,095.12 +$545.72
(+4.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 1:00pm ET $118.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2025 10:00am ET $124.02 0 $0.00 $14,716.39 +$621.27
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2025 1:00pm ET $126.96 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2025 10:00am ET $125.45 0 $0.00 $14,542.74 $-173.65
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 1:00pm ET $124.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 10:00am ET $120.58 0 $0.00 $14,100.11 $-442.63
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 22, 2025 1:00pm ET $118.51 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 12:55pm ET $117.23 0 $0.00 $13,948.48 $-151.63
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2025 1:00pm ET $118.47 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 10:40am ET $121.52 0 $0.00 $14,306.13 +$357.65
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 1:10pm ET $121.96 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 10:00am ET $120.10 0 $0.00 $14,088.35 $-217.78
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2025 1:10pm ET $116.79 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 1:40pm ET $117.84 0 $0.00 $14,214.59 +$126.24
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 1:00pm ET $121.24 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 10:00am ET $128.65 0 $0.00 $15,081.68 +$867.09
(+6.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 3:05pm ET $129.93 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 3:35pm ET $131.95 0 $0.00 $15,316.00 +$234.32
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 3:40pm ET $132.04 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 12:50pm ET $135.51 0 $0.00 $15,715.56 +$399.56
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 1:00pm ET $135.80 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 10:00am ET $141.37 0 $0.00 $16,356.11 +$640.55
(+4.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Sep 12, 2025 1:00pm ET $156.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 1:30pm ET $157.11 0 $0.00 $16,392.00 +$35.89
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 3:05pm ET $160.07 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 10:00am ET $168.12 0 $0.00 $17,212.59 +$820.59
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 1:00pm ET $170.33 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 2:15pm ET $168.53 0 $0.00 $17,030.27 $-182.32
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 1:00pm ET $166.65 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2025 3:40pm ET $164.95 0 $0.00 $16,856.87 $-173.40
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 1:00pm ET $180.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 12:45pm ET $184.95 0 $0.00 $17,309.76 +$452.89
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Oct 8, 2025 1:00pm ET $196.85 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 10:00am ET $190.66 0 $0.00 $16,771.23 $-538.53
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 1:00pm ET $192.45 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:00am ET $184.24 0 $0.00 $16,056.96 $-714.27
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 3:10pm ET $193.26 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 10:00am ET $191.31 0 $0.00 $15,894.93 $-162.03
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Oct 20, 2025 2:55pm ET $208.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:00am ET $203.48 0 $0.00 $15,521.01 $-373.92
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 1:00pm ET $198.16 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 10:00am ET $205.05 0 $0.00 $16,058.43 +$537.42
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
31 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 1:00pm ET $207.10 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 10:00am ET $217.18 0 $0.00 $16,834.59 +$776.16
(+4.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
32 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 1:00pm ET $219.02 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 1:50pm ET $220.50 0 $0.00 $16,947.07 +$112.48
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
33 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 1:55pm ET $220.54 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 2:40pm ET $222.10 0 $0.00 $17,065.65 +$118.58
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
34 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 3:20pm ET $224.25 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 10:55am ET $230.05 0 $0.00 $17,506.45 +$440.80
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
35 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 1:00pm ET $227.77 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 10:00am ET $222.24 0 $0.00 $17,085.61 $-420.84
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
36 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 1:00pm ET $223.50 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 10:00am ET $235.39 0 $0.00 $17,989.25 +$903.64
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
37 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 1:00pm ET $244.00 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 10:00am ET $235.93 0 $0.00 $17,399.78 $-589.47
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
38 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 1:00pm ET $239.36 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET $253.60 0 $0.00 $18,425.06 +$1,025.28
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
39 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 1:20pm ET $240.98 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET $233.80 0 $0.00 $17,879.38 $-545.68
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
40 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 1:00pm ET $247.80 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 2:35pm ET $252.93 0 $0.00 $18,248.74 +$369.36
(+2.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
41 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:00pm ET $289.47 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 1:30pm ET $294.71 0 $0.00 $18,579.18 +$330.44
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
42 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $309.54 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:20am ET $317.88 0 $0.00 $19,079.58 +$500.40
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
43 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $335.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:20am ET $344.44 0 $0.00 $19,570.68 +$491.10
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
44 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $341.11 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:30pm ET $344.68 0 $0.00 $19,774.40 +$203.72
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
45 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $383.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $392.99 0 $0.00 $20,263.49 +$489.09
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
46 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $414.10 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $427.65 0 $0.00 $20,913.89 +$650.40
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
47 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $437.85 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET $433.22 0 $0.00 $20,696.04 $-217.85
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
48 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $442.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $437.58 0 $0.00 $20,476.78 $-219.26
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
49 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $395.69 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $383.05 0 $0.00 $19,832.27 $-644.51
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
50 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 3:10pm ET $411.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET $429.02 0 $0.00 $20,660.99 +$828.72
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
51 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $446.54 46 $20,540.84
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $424.00 46 $19,504.00 $19,624.15 $-1,036.84
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
52 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $348.28 56 $19,503.68
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 56 $23,194.36 $23,314.83 +$3,690.68
(+18.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
53 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $436.00 53 $23,108.00
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $489.45 53 $25,940.59 $26,147.42 +$2,832.59
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.2d held
54 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $495.80 52 $25,781.60
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $558.87 52 $29,061.24 $29,427.06 +$3,279.64
(+12.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
55 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $609.37 48 $29,249.76
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:35am ET $692.23 48 $33,226.83 $33,404.13 +$3,977.07
(+13.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
56 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $811.00 41 $33,251.08
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $731.76 41 $30,002.16 $30,155.21 $-3,248.92
(-9.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
57 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $732.61 41 $30,037.21
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $822.46 41 $33,720.86 $33,838.86 +$3,683.65
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
58 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $955.96 35 $33,458.60
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:15am ET $914.05 35 $31,991.92 $32,372.18 $-1,466.68
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
59 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $956.39 33 $31,560.87
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $1,073.82 33 $35,436.06 $36,247.37 +$3,875.19
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
60 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $938.26 38 $35,653.88
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $889.70 38 $33,808.60 $34,402.09 $-1,845.28
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $34,402.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$24,402.09
Total Return: +244.02%
Back to Surge PRO