NVDA Surge PRO's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-06-20 to present • 44 trades in period
+26.53%
Last Year Return
$19,656.70
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$15,534.71
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026
63
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality
65.3/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 63.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
37,410
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$15,534.71
Current Value
$19,656.70
Period P&L
$4,121.99
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
44
Winners / Losers
23 /
21
Best Trade
+12.19%
Worst Trade
-4.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$78,997.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,121.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,121.99
Gross Return
+26.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+26.53%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 44 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $15,534.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 1:25pm ET | $144.41 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 1:55pm ET | $147.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $15,860.97 |
+$326.26 (+2.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $152.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 1:30pm ET | $156.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,205.04 |
+$344.07 (+2.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 1:00pm ET | $157.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2025 2:45pm ET | $155.89 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,030.14 |
$-174.90 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2025 1:00pm ET | $157.32 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2025 10:25am ET | $158.31 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,130.13 |
+$99.99 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 2:20pm ET | $171.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 2:50pm ET | $173.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,355.28 |
+$225.15 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2025 3:20pm ET | $176.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 3:50pm ET | $175.75 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,326.30 |
$-28.98 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 1:00pm ET | $179.22 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2025 1:30pm ET | $178.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,295.36 |
$-30.94 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2025 1:00pm ET | $178.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 10:45am ET | $176.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,041.75 |
$-253.61 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2025 3:15pm ET | $179.45 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 3:45pm ET | $179.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,087.13 |
+$45.38 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 1:00pm ET | $177.49 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 1:30pm ET | $180.93 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,397.18 |
+$310.05 (+1.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 1:35pm ET | $180.99 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 2:05pm ET | $181.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,458.24 |
+$61.06 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 2:15pm ET | $181.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2025 2:45pm ET | $181.94 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,472.71 |
+$14.47 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 3:25pm ET | $170.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $177.36 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,156.23 |
+$683.52 (+4.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 1:00pm ET | $177.47 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2025 11:55am ET | $175.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,950.19 |
$-206.04 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 1:00pm ET | $176.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 1:30pm ET | $176.04 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,888.49 |
$-61.70 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2025 1:00pm ET | $183.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $179.73 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,515.59 |
$-372.90 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $178.29 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 1:55pm ET | $176.38 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,339.88 |
$-175.71 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 1:00pm ET | $185.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 1:30pm ET | $187.67 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,493.43 |
+$153.55 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 1, 2025 1:35pm ET | $187.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 2:05pm ET | $188.86 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,582.65 |
+$89.22 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 1:00pm ET | $184.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $180.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,247.85 |
$-334.80 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 1:10pm ET | $182.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 1:40pm ET | $185.38 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,535.31 |
+$287.46 (+1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2025 3:05pm ET | $186.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 12:55pm ET | $191.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,957.21 |
+$421.90 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 1:35pm ET | $196.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:05pm ET | $201.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,423.53 |
+$466.32 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $210.99 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 2:00pm ET | $208.66 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,232.88 |
$-190.65 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $201.00 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 3:30pm ET | $198.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,059.06 |
$-173.82 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET | $186.59 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $195.29 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,850.69 |
+$791.63 (+4.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 1:00pm ET | $196.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $193.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,553.53 |
$-297.16 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $188.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:05am ET | $186.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,347.44 |
$-206.09 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $175.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 10:30am ET | $180.34 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,805.10 |
+$457.66 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 1:00pm ET | $179.39 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $185.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,372.86 |
+$567.76 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 1:20pm ET | $183.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 11:10am ET | $181.70 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,175.36 |
$-197.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 1:05pm ET | $187.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 1:30pm ET | $185.33 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,971.36 |
$-204.00 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 2:30pm ET | $181.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $177.24 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,596.15 |
$-375.21 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 3:35pm ET | $177.90 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $174.12 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,225.73 |
$-370.42 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $180.99 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 10:25am ET | $185.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,632.81 |
+$407.08 (+2.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 1:00pm ET | $188.02 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 10:25am ET | $191.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,963.89 |
+$331.08 (+1.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:25pm ET | $186.78 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $184.89 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,782.44 |
$-181.45 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $185.81 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET | $180.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,323.08 |
$-459.36 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:00pm ET | $181.44 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 11:45am ET | $185.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,754.38 |
+$431.30 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 1:00pm ET | $189.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 1:30pm ET | $191.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,987.81 |
+$233.43 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $190.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:50pm ET | $188.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,803.10 |
$-184.71 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $184.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $190.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,392.06 |
+$588.96 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.60 | 99 | $18,275.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:50am ET | $207.10 | 99 | $20,502.41 | $20,619.06 |
+$2,227.00 (+12.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16.1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.11 | 98 | $20,590.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 12:20pm ET | $200.29 | 98 | $19,628.42 | $19,656.70 |
$-962.36 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$19,656.70
Net Profit/Loss:
+$9,656.70
Total Return:
+96.57%