PLTR Surge PRO's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 56 trades in period
+0.29%
Last Year Return
$16,853.13
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$16,804.81
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
37
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
13.7/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality
38.2/100
× Confidence 0.96
= 36.9
30-Day Momentum
0
-11.9%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$16,804.81
Current Value
$16,853.13
Period P&L
$48.32
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
56
Winners / Losers
23 /
33
Best Trade
+8.09%
Worst Trade
-6.75%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$107,362.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$48.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$48.32
Gross Return
+0.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.29%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 56 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $16,804.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2025 1:00pm ET | $129.57 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $128.05 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,608.73 |
$-196.08 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 2:20pm ET | $126.36 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2025 3:50pm ET | $130.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,149.09 |
+$540.36 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 2:55pm ET | $134.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 3:45pm ET | $133.20 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,965.23 |
$-183.86 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 6, 2025 1:15pm ET | $126.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2025 12:10pm ET | $129.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,420.83 |
+$455.60 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 9, 2025 1:00pm ET | $130.88 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2025 1:30pm ET | $131.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,483.34 |
+$62.51 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2025 1:00pm ET | $138.26 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2025 2:00pm ET | $136.26 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,231.37 |
$-251.97 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 1:00pm ET | $141.98 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $145.84 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,698.33 |
+$466.96 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2025 1:00pm ET | $137.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 10:20am ET | $136.49 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,508.89 |
$-189.44 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2025 2:30pm ET | $139.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2025 10:40am ET | $138.10 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,319.51 |
$-189.38 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2025 1:00pm ET | $140.59 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2025 1:30pm ET | $142.21 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,519.14 |
+$199.63 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $146.96 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 1:30pm ET | $148.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,716.68 |
+$197.54 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2025 2:35pm ET | $151.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2025 1:15pm ET | $154.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,158.94 |
+$442.26 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2025 1:20pm ET | $154.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $153.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,943.66 |
$-215.28 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 1:00pm ET | $151.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 1:30pm ET | $154.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,318.90 |
+$375.24 (+2.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2025 1:45pm ET | $154.98 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $159.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,819.23 |
+$500.33 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2025 1:00pm ET | $177.71 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $182.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,303.62 |
+$484.39 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 1:30pm ET | $186.83 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2025 11:10am ET | $184.88 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,102.76 |
$-200.86 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 3:45pm ET | $156.23 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 10:15am ET | $158.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,377.26 |
+$274.50 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 22, 2025 1:00pm ET | $160.48 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 2:10pm ET | $158.79 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,173.86 |
$-203.40 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $157.05 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 12:05pm ET | $161.38 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,702.73 |
+$528.87 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2025 1:00pm ET | $161.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 1:50pm ET | $158.92 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,439.21 |
$-263.52 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 1:00pm ET | $157.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2025 10:30am ET | $161.04 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,925.69 |
+$486.48 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 1:00pm ET | $161.66 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $167.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,582.51 |
+$656.82 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 1:00pm ET | $167.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2025 3:00pm ET | $165.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,359.25 |
$-223.26 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 12, 2025 1:00pm ET | $169.73 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 10:35am ET | $167.78 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,127.80 |
$-231.45 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 1:00pm ET | $176.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $181.24 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,712.29 |
+$584.49 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 1:00pm ET | $183.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 19, 2025 2:45pm ET | $181.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,490.53 |
$-221.76 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $180.76 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 1:40pm ET | $178.68 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,255.49 |
$-235.04 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 3:45pm ET | $182.09 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:15am ET | $184.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,552.97 |
+$297.48 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 2:45pm ET | $185.08 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $182.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,302.11 |
$-250.86 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 20, 2025 1:00pm ET | $182.34 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:00am ET | $179.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,969.82 |
$-332.29 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 1:00pm ET | $180.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 24, 2025 10:10am ET | $185.53 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,480.22 |
+$510.40 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 2:30pm ET | $191.58 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2025 3:20pm ET | $189.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,272.45 |
$-207.77 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 29, 2025 1:35pm ET | $197.41 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 2:35pm ET | $194.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,997.48 |
$-274.97 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 1:35pm ET | $207.12 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $193.14 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,655.88 |
$-1,341.60 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET | $176.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $190.83 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,155.96 |
+$1,500.08 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 1:00pm ET | $192.42 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:10am ET | $190.28 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,933.40 |
$-222.56 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $175.19 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $171.39 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,503.43 |
$-429.97 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $162.22 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:05am ET | $166.44 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,009.83 |
+$506.40 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:00pm ET | $167.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:25pm ET | $166.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,809.30 |
$-200.53 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 1:00pm ET | $168.50 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $175.22 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,595.54 |
+$786.24 (+4.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $174.36 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 1:30pm ET | $176.95 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,901.30 |
+$305.76 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $181.18 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 1:30pm ET | $180.80 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,857.60 |
$-43.70 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:05pm ET | $188.79 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $181.96 | 0 | $0.00 | $20,105.49 |
$-752.11 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 1:00pm ET | $186.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $182.74 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,724.57 |
$-380.92 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 1:30pm ET | $186.72 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $184.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,498.82 |
$-225.75 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 1:00pm ET | $187.04 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 2:40pm ET | $185.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,297.58 |
$-201.24 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 3:05pm ET | $192.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 3:35pm ET | $193.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,350.58 |
+$53.00 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $179.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:40am ET | $184.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,866.32 |
+$515.74 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:00pm ET | $185.97 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:15pm ET | $183.79 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,635.24 |
$-231.08 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 1:00pm ET | $169.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:30pm ET | $168.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,543.24 |
$-92.00 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $136.95 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $135.42 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,325.98 |
$-217.26 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $144.84 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $143.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $19,123.81 |
$-202.17 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $154.76 | 123 | $19,036.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $148.38 | 123 | $18,250.74 | $18,338.46 |
$-785.35 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 55 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.75 | 125 | $18,218.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET | $139.86 | 125 | $17,482.50 | $17,602.21 |
$-736.25 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 56 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $143.95 | 122 | $17,561.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $137.81 | 122 | $16,812.82 | $16,853.13 |
$-749.08 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,853.13
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,853.13
Total Return:
+68.53%