WMT Surge PRO's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 54 trades in period
+12.92%
Last Year Return
$14,538.76
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$12,875.67
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
40
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
22.3/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
5.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
53.9/100
× Confidence 0.74
= 40.1
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,310
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$12,875.67
Current Value
$14,538.76
Period P&L
$1,663.09
Max Drawdown
-7.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
27 /
27
Best Trade
+2.76%
Worst Trade
-3.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$0.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,663.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,663.09
Gross Return
+12.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.92%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $12,875.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2025 1:50pm ET | $97.01 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $93.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,424.23 |
$-451.44 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 1:00pm ET | $96.37 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 16, 2025 10:45am ET | $99.03 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,764.07 |
+$339.84 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 16, 2025 1:00pm ET | $98.14 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2025 10:10am ET | $97.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,634.72 |
$-129.35 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2025 1:00pm ET | $98.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 11:50am ET | $97.03 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,496.16 |
$-138.56 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2025 3:35pm ET | $97.70 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 10:05am ET | $97.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,448.53 |
$-47.63 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 30, 2025 3:00pm ET | $98.53 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 3:30pm ET | $99.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,584.61 |
+$136.08 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 1:15pm ET | $96.89 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 1:45pm ET | $98.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,853.63 |
+$269.02 (+2.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 1:50pm ET | $99.09 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 3:50pm ET | $98.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,715.60 |
$-138.03 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 27, 2025 1:00pm ET | $97.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2025 10:35am ET | $96.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,588.20 |
$-127.40 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $98.36 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2025 10:25am ET | $97.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,513.27 |
$-74.93 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 1:20pm ET | $95.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 1:50pm ET | $95.71 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,527.57 |
+$14.30 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2025 1:00pm ET | $96.67 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 1:30pm ET | $97.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,649.89 |
+$122.32 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 25, 2025 1:35pm ET | $97.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 2:05pm ET | $97.16 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,605.36 |
$-44.53 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 1:00pm ET | $98.56 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2025 11:50am ET | $97.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,467.56 |
$-137.80 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2025 1:00pm ET | $103.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2025 1:30pm ET | $102.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,422.88 |
$-44.68 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 1:30pm ET | $104.42 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 10:35am ET | $103.32 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,293.67 |
$-129.21 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 1:25pm ET | $96.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 1:55pm ET | $97.64 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,424.12 |
+$130.45 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 1:20pm ET | $98.74 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 11:45am ET | $101.34 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,748.50 |
+$324.38 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 1:00pm ET | $101.05 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 10:00am ET | $99.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,587.22 |
$-161.28 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 1:00pm ET | $101.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 1:30pm ET | $102.35 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,661.63 |
+$74.41 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2025 1:55pm ET | $102.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 2:25pm ET | $103.46 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,819.69 |
+$158.06 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 1:00pm ET | $103.75 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $100.97 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,478.36 |
$-341.33 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 2:25pm ET | $102.03 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 2:55pm ET | $102.16 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,493.61 |
+$15.25 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 3:00pm ET | $102.20 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 3:30pm ET | $102.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,534.48 |
+$40.87 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 3:35pm ET | $102.81 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 10:05am ET | $101.66 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,395.33 |
$-139.15 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 1:00pm ET | $102.38 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 10:30am ET | $104.98 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,710.35 |
+$315.02 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 1:00pm ET | $107.51 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 10:00am ET | $106.43 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,582.91 |
$-127.44 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $102.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $101.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,452.98 |
$-129.93 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 2:35pm ET | $102.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $101.77 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,328.51 |
$-124.47 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 1:05pm ET | $103.39 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 1:35pm ET | $103.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,295.19 |
$-33.32 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $101.71 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 1:30pm ET | $102.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,421.21 |
+$126.02 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $106.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:30am ET | $109.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,733.83 |
+$312.62 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:00pm ET | $109.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $111.27 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,976.85 |
+$243.02 (+1.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 1:00pm ET | $111.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 1:30pm ET | $111.70 | 0 | $0.00 | $12,983.23 |
+$6.38 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 2:40pm ET | $112.02 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:05pm ET | $114.84 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,308.09 |
+$324.86 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 3:10pm ET | $114.73 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:15am ET | $113.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,174.49 |
$-133.60 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 1:40pm ET | $114.65 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 2:10pm ET | $115.30 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,248.60 |
+$74.11 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 1:45pm ET | $114.39 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 2:15pm ET | $113.55 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,152.57 |
$-96.03 (-0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 1:00pm ET | $115.09 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 1:30pm ET | $116.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,259.13 |
+$106.56 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 2:55pm ET | $116.73 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:25pm ET | $116.59 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,243.31 |
$-15.82 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 3:05pm ET | $112.54 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 3:35pm ET | $112.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,187.75 |
$-55.56 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $112.34 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:30pm ET | $113.57 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,331.41 |
+$143.66 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $113.96 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $112.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,163.04 |
$-168.37 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 1:00pm ET | $113.06 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:30pm ET | $114.48 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,327.76 |
+$164.72 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $115.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $118.01 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,665.86 |
+$338.10 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:00pm ET | $118.48 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 1:30pm ET | $120.15 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,857.91 |
+$192.05 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 1:35pm ET | $120.24 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $120.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,845.26 |
$-12.65 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $120.43 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $119.02 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,684.86 |
$-160.40 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $119.28 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:15pm ET | $118.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,548.29 |
$-136.57 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:00pm ET | $117.86 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $120.99 | 0 | $0.00 | $13,905.11 |
+$356.82 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $123.42 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $126.62 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,264.07 |
+$358.96 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:00pm ET | $127.77 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:30pm ET | $128.07 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,297.37 |
+$33.30 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $130.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $128.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,150.76 |
$-146.61 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 1:00pm ET | $129.57 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $133.13 | 0 | $0.00 | $14,538.76 |
+$388.00 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,538.76
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,538.76
Total Return:
+45.39%