Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

57
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
30.3/35
Total Return
17.2/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 59.5/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 57.2

30-Day Momentum

50
+22.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 81.1 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,668.29
Current Value
$21,593.79
Period P&L
$1,925.50
Max Drawdown
-13.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+13.81%
Worst Trade
-4.56%
Avg Trade Return
+1.60%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$197,166.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,925.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,925.50
Gross Return
+9.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $19,668.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $162.68 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $161.01 0 $0.00 $19,467.41 $-200.88
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $166.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $164.85 0 $0.00 $19,258.03 $-209.38
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $204.25 94 $19,199.50
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:20am ET $195.57 94 $18,383.58 $18,442.11 $-815.92
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $203.68 90 $18,331.20
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:10pm ET $195.29 90 $17,576.10 $17,687.01 $-755.10
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $164.45 107 $17,596.15
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.94 107 $19,788.58 $19,879.44 +$2,192.43
(+12.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $180.26 110 $19,828.60
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $205.16 110 $22,567.60 $22,618.44 +$2,739.00
(+13.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $204.18 110 $22,459.80
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $194.87 110 $21,435.15 $21,593.79 $-1,024.65
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,593.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,593.79
Total Return: +115.94%
Back to Surge PRO