Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 10:55:59

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

71
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.8/25
Win Rate
3.9/15
Profit Factor
8.3/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 73.6/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 71.2

30-Day Momentum

33
+14.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.8 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-38 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,624.15
Current Value
$34,402.09
Period P&L
$14,777.94
Max Drawdown
-19.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.71

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
6 / 3
Best Trade
+18.92%
Worst Trade
-9.77%
Avg Trade Return
+6.97%
Avg Hold Time
4.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$537,987.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$14,777.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$14,777.94
Gross Return
+75.30%
Net Return (after fees)
+75.30%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $19,624.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $348.28 56 $19,503.68
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 56 $23,194.36 $23,314.83 +$3,690.68
(+18.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $436.00 53 $23,108.00
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $489.45 53 $25,940.59 $26,147.42 +$2,832.59
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $495.80 52 $25,781.60
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $558.87 52 $29,061.24 $29,427.06 +$3,279.64
(+12.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
4 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $609.37 48 $29,249.76
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:35am ET $692.23 48 $33,226.83 $33,404.13 +$3,977.07
(+13.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
5 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $811.00 41 $33,251.08
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $731.76 41 $30,002.16 $30,155.21 $-3,248.92
(-9.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
6 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $732.61 41 $30,037.21
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $822.46 41 $33,720.86 $33,838.86 +$3,683.65
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
7 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $955.96 35 $33,458.60
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:15am ET $914.05 35 $31,991.92 $32,372.18 $-1,466.68
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
8 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $956.39 33 $31,560.87
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:45pm ET $1,073.82 33 $35,436.06 $36,247.37 +$3,875.19
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $938.26 38 $35,653.88
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $889.70 38 $33,808.60 $34,402.09 $-1,845.28
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $34,402.09
Net Profit/Loss: +$24,402.09
Total Return: +244.02%
Back to Surge PRO