Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:57:03

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.7/35
Total Return
17.7/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 62.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 62.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,105.60
Current Value
$23,592.81
Period P&L
$6,487.21
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.62

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+12.16%
Worst Trade
-5.03%
Avg Trade Return
+5.03%
Avg Hold Time
5.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$298,397.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,487.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,487.21
Gross Return
+37.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+37.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $17,105.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $45.06 379 $17,077.74
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $43.20 379 $16,372.80 $16,400.66 $-704.94
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $39.25 417 $16,367.25
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $43.97 417 $18,335.49 $18,368.90 +$1,968.24
(+12.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $48.75 376 $18,330.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:45am ET $54.68 376 $20,559.38 $20,598.28 +$2,229.38
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $57.87 355 $20,543.85
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $64.89 355 $23,035.95 $23,090.38 +$2,492.10
(+12.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
5 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $66.40 347 $23,040.80
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:00am ET $74.43 347 $25,827.21 $25,876.79 +$2,786.41
(+12.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $80.67 320 $25,814.40
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $77.43 320 $24,777.25 $24,839.64 $-1,037.15
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $82.88 299 $24,781.12
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $78.71 299 $23,534.29 $23,592.81 $-1,246.83
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,592.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,592.81
Total Return: +135.93%
Back to Surge PRO