Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:52:46

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

77
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.7/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
13.0/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 80.0/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 77.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,891
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,937.51
Current Value
$41,100.11
Period P&L
$22,039.40
Max Drawdown
-21.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.68

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
10 / 6
Best Trade
+21.43%
Worst Trade
-4.49%
Avg Trade Return
+5.26%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$474,986.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$22,039.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$22,039.40
Gross Return
+116.38%
Net Return (after fees)
+116.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $18,937.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:00pm ET $213.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 1:30pm ET $214.53 0 $0.00 $19,060.71 +$123.20
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $209.31 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $220.58 0 $0.00 $20,086.28 +$1,025.57
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $221.69 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $236.67 0 $0.00 $21,434.20 +$1,347.92
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $237.89 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $235.15 0 $0.00 $21,187.15 $-247.05
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $247.93 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:45am ET $255.34 0 $0.00 $21,817.42 +$630.27
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $254.87 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET $263.21 0 $0.00 $22,526.16 +$708.74
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $248.62 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $245.91 0 $0.00 $22,282.26 $-243.90
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $208.38 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $206.27 0 $0.00 $22,058.60 $-223.66
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $215.83 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $214.26 0 $0.00 $21,898.46 $-160.14
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $197.85 110 $21,763.50
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $225.40 110 $24,793.99 $24,928.95 +$3,030.49
(+13.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $232.37 107 $24,863.59
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $264.93 107 $28,347.51 $28,412.87 +$3,483.92
(+14.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $291.27 97 $28,253.19
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $336.83 97 $32,672.99 $32,832.68 +$4,419.81
(+15.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $351.48 93 $32,687.64
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $426.80 93 $39,692.40 $39,837.44 +$7,004.76
(+21.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
14 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $424.43 93 $39,472.10
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:00am ET $405.68 93 $37,728.12 $38,093.46 $-1,743.98
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
15 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $469.87 81 $38,059.47
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $530.70 81 $42,986.70 $43,020.69 +$4,927.23
(+12.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $503.45 85 $42,792.83
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $480.85 85 $40,872.25 $41,100.11 $-1,920.58
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $41,100.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$31,100.11
Total Return: +311.00%
Back to Surge PRO