Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:31:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
23.2/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
6.7/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 55.3/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 51.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,744
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,531.81
Current Value
$14,062.28
Period P&L
$2,530.47
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.43

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
12 / 3
Best Trade
+12.94%
Worst Trade
-1.01%
Avg Trade Return
+1.38%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$26,432.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,530.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,530.47
Gross Return
+21.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $11,531.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:35pm ET $53.46 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:05pm ET $53.68 0 $0.00 $11,578.03 +$46.22
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 1:15pm ET $53.98 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 1:45pm ET $54.26 0 $0.00 $11,639.02 +$60.99
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 2:20pm ET $53.18 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 11:45am ET $53.63 0 $0.00 $11,737.12 +$98.10
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 1:00pm ET $54.05 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 1:30pm ET $54.46 0 $0.00 $11,826.20 +$89.08
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:05pm ET $54.00 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 2:35pm ET $54.41 0 $0.00 $11,915.99 +$89.79
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:40pm ET $54.43 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 3:10pm ET $55.15 0 $0.00 $12,071.84 +$155.85
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 3:15pm ET $55.16 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 3:45pm ET $55.42 0 $0.00 $12,129.61 +$57.77
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:10pm ET $55.11 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 1:40pm ET $55.96 0 $0.00 $12,314.63 +$185.02
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $55.53 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $57.16 0 $0.00 $12,673.76 +$359.13
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $56.46 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $56.05 0 $0.00 $12,581.92 $-91.84
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $53.30 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $52.76 0 $0.00 $12,454.48 $-127.44
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $52.71 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $52.80 0 $0.00 $12,475.72 +$21.24
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $54.01 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:30pm ET $54.12 0 $0.00 $12,501.13 +$25.41
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $56.79 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $56.59 0 $0.00 $12,456.03 $-45.10
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $48.30 257 $12,413.10
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $54.55 257 $14,019.35 $14,062.28 +$1,606.25
(+12.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
23d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,062.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,062.28
Total Return: +40.62%
Back to Surge PRO