Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:47:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

60
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
5.1/15
Profit Factor
5.1/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 66.1/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 60.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,795
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
135 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,993.45
Current Value
$15,552.21
Period P&L
$1,706.72
Max Drawdown
-5.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
11 / 10
Best Trade
+13.41%
Worst Trade
-4.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.56%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$86,133.12
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,706.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,706.72
Gross Return
+12.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 135 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $13,993.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 1:00pm ET $101.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $100.87 0 $0.00 $13,845.49 $-147.96
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 3:50pm ET $100.60 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:20am ET $100.36 0 $0.00 $13,813.30 $-32.19
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET $100.80 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:05am ET $99.79 0 $0.00 $13,674.93 $-138.37
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 2:15pm ET $103.04 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 11:40am ET $103.41 0 $0.00 $13,724.43 +$49.50
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 1:00pm ET $106.61 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 1:30pm ET $108.27 0 $0.00 $13,936.91 +$212.48
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 1:35pm ET $108.27 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 2:05pm ET $108.39 0 $0.00 $13,951.63 +$14.72
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 3:40pm ET $109.29 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 12:30pm ET $108.13 0 $0.00 $13,804.06 $-147.57
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:30pm ET $111.27 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:00pm ET $111.68 0 $0.00 $13,854.90 +$50.84
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:00pm ET $114.99 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 11:40am ET $117.91 0 $0.00 $14,205.14 +$350.24
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 1:00pm ET $118.37 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 1:30pm ET $120.01 0 $0.00 $14,401.94 +$196.80
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 1:35pm ET $120.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 11:00am ET $120.76 0 $0.00 $14,476.91 +$74.97
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $117.83 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $122.81 0 $0.00 $15,084.47 +$607.56
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $123.88 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $123.55 0 $0.00 $15,045.14 $-39.33
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $117.63 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $118.67 0 $0.00 $15,176.59 +$131.45
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $116.41 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $115.18 0 $0.00 $15,016.69 $-159.90
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $116.87 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:55pm ET $115.50 0 $0.00 $14,841.97 $-174.72
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $122.92 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $124.76 0 $0.00 $15,063.37 +$221.40
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $124.80 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:55am ET $123.37 0 $0.00 $14,891.77 $-171.60
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $110.00 135 $14,850.00
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $105.57 135 $14,251.28 $14,293.05 $-598.72
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $112.59 126 $14,186.34
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $108.00 126 $13,608.00 $13,714.71 $-578.34
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $109.60 125 $13,700.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:35am ET $124.30 125 $15,537.50 $15,552.21 +$1,837.50
(+13.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,552.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,552.21
Total Return: +55.52%
Back to Surge PRO