Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:30

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

57
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
30.3/35
Total Return
17.2/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 59.5/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 57.2

30-Day Momentum

50
+22.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 81.1 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,357
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,300.89
Current Value
$21,593.79
Period P&L
$3,952.97
Max Drawdown
-13.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
9 / 11
Best Trade
+13.81%
Worst Trade
-5.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.96%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$197,166.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,952.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,952.97
Gross Return
+21.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $18,300.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 1:10pm ET $317.14 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $305.56 0 $0.00 $17,640.82 $-660.07
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 1:00pm ET $302.38 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET $316.43 0 $0.00 $18,455.72 +$814.90
(+4.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET $288.78 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 2:00pm ET $285.53 0 $0.00 $18,251.03 $-204.69
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 3:30pm ET $250.79 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:05am ET $257.26 0 $0.00 $18,716.87 +$465.84
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:00pm ET $264.87 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 10:00am ET $275.26 0 $0.00 $19,444.17 +$727.30
(+3.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 1:00pm ET $275.84 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 1:30pm ET $276.31 0 $0.00 $19,477.07 +$32.90
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 1:00pm ET $280.31 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 2:00pm ET $277.06 0 $0.00 $19,252.82 $-224.25
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 3:10pm ET $276.94 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET $265.39 0 $0.00 $18,455.79 $-797.03
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $236.54 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $254.11 0 $0.00 $19,826.25 +$1,370.46
(+7.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:45pm ET $255.85 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET $252.62 0 $0.00 $19,577.16 $-249.09
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $244.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:30am ET $251.43 0 $0.00 $20,117.96 +$540.80
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:45pm ET $252.65 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:10am ET $260.09 0 $0.00 $20,705.72 +$587.76
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $241.15 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $228.95 0 $0.00 $19,668.29 $-1,037.43
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $162.68 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $161.01 0 $0.00 $19,467.41 $-200.88
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $166.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $164.85 0 $0.00 $19,258.03 $-209.38
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $204.25 94 $19,199.50
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:20am ET $195.57 94 $18,383.58 $18,442.11 $-815.92
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $203.68 90 $18,331.20
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:10pm ET $195.29 90 $17,576.10 $17,687.01 $-755.10
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $164.45 107 $17,596.15
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.94 107 $19,788.58 $19,879.44 +$2,192.43
(+12.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $180.26 110 $19,828.60
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $205.16 110 $22,567.60 $22,618.44 +$2,739.00
(+13.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $204.18 110 $22,459.80
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $194.87 110 $21,435.15 $21,593.79 $-1,024.65
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,593.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,593.79
Total Return: +115.94%
Back to Surge PRO