Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:52:56

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.5/35
Total Return
15.4/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
7.0/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 55.1/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 51.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,435.83
Current Value
$17,115.33
Period P&L
$2,347.21
Max Drawdown
-11.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
8 / 3
Best Trade
+15.05%
Worst Trade
-2.33%
Avg Trade Return
+1.65%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$65,498.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,347.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,347.21
Gross Return
+16.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $14,435.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $305.69 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:20am ET $312.76 0 $0.00 $14,768.12 +$332.29
(+2.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 3:00pm ET $313.89 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:30pm ET $314.61 0 $0.00 $14,801.96 +$33.84
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $323.74 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $325.69 0 $0.00 $14,889.71 +$87.75
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:45pm ET $330.52 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:50am ET $338.93 0 $0.00 $15,267.89 +$378.18
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $336.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $332.81 0 $0.00 $15,108.59 $-159.30
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $327.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $331.23 0 $0.00 $15,299.03 +$190.44
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:00pm ET $335.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 1:30pm ET $335.25 0 $0.00 $15,306.23 +$7.20
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $343.56 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $339.80 0 $0.00 $15,140.57 $-165.66
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $325.56 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $317.99 0 $0.00 $14,792.14 $-348.43
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $278.51 53 $14,761.03
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $320.42 53 $16,982.52 $17,013.63 +$2,221.49
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $373.92 45 $16,826.40
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $376.18 45 $16,928.10 $17,115.33 +$101.70
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,115.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,115.33
Total Return: +71.15%
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