Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:30:29

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
4.9/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 11.4/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 10.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,643
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,353.82
Current Value
$10,293.12
Period P&L
$-950.70
Max Drawdown
-12.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
5 / 9
Best Trade
+3.39%
Worst Trade
-4.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.69%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$65,125.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-950.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-950.70
Gross Return
-8.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $11,353.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 1:00pm ET $544.49 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:30am ET $538.99 0 $0.00 $11,243.82 $-110.00
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 1:00pm ET $560.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 1:30pm ET $568.71 0 $0.00 $11,411.12 +$167.30
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 3:45pm ET $576.07 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:15am ET $573.40 0 $0.00 $11,360.48 $-50.64
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 1:00pm ET $575.86 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 1:30pm ET $574.54 0 $0.00 $11,335.34 $-25.14
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:10pm ET $572.83 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 1:40pm ET $581.59 0 $0.00 $11,501.78 +$166.44
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 1:45pm ET $581.32 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET $574.46 0 $0.00 $11,371.44 $-130.34
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $566.89 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $586.12 0 $0.00 $11,756.04 +$384.60
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $589.92 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $595.58 0 $0.00 $11,863.44 +$107.40
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $531.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $525.41 0 $0.00 $11,737.69 $-125.75
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 3:05pm ET $531.46 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:25am ET $525.81 0 $0.00 $11,613.39 $-124.30
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $492.51 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:45pm ET $497.94 0 $0.00 $11,738.28 +$124.89
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $488.14 24 $11,715.48
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $468.20 24 $11,236.78 $11,259.58 $-478.70
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $469.99 23 $10,809.77
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $450.06 23 $10,351.38 $10,801.19 $-458.39
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $467.84 23 $10,760.32
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $445.75 23 $10,252.25 $10,293.12 $-508.07
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,293.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$293.12
Total Return: +2.93%
Back to Surge PRO