Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:49:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

64
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.9/25
Win Rate
2.1/15
Profit Factor
5.4/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 66.7/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 64.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,634
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,059.06
Current Value
$20,619.06
Period P&L
$3,560.00
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
9 / 9
Best Trade
+12.19%
Worst Trade
-2.60%
Avg Trade Return
+1.12%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$38,777.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,560.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,560.00
Gross Return
+20.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $17,059.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET $186.59 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET $195.29 0 $0.00 $17,850.69 +$791.63
(+4.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 1:00pm ET $196.63 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:00am ET $193.33 0 $0.00 $17,553.53 $-297.16
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET $188.86 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:05am ET $186.62 0 $0.00 $17,347.44 $-206.09
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 1:00pm ET $175.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:30am ET $180.34 0 $0.00 $17,805.10 +$457.66
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 1:00pm ET $179.39 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET $185.12 0 $0.00 $18,372.86 +$567.76
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 1:20pm ET $183.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 11:10am ET $181.70 0 $0.00 $18,175.36 $-197.50
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $187.46 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 1:30pm ET $185.33 0 $0.00 $17,971.36 $-204.00
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 2:30pm ET $181.03 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET $177.24 0 $0.00 $17,596.15 $-375.21
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 3:35pm ET $177.90 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET $174.12 0 $0.00 $17,225.73 $-370.42
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $180.99 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:25am ET $185.28 0 $0.00 $17,632.81 +$407.08
(+2.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 1:00pm ET $188.02 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:25am ET $191.58 0 $0.00 $17,963.89 +$331.08
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:25pm ET $186.78 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $184.89 0 $0.00 $17,782.44 $-181.45
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $185.81 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET $180.97 0 $0.00 $17,323.08 $-459.36
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:00pm ET $181.44 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:45am ET $185.98 0 $0.00 $17,754.38 +$431.30
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $189.23 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $191.74 0 $0.00 $17,987.81 +$233.43
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $190.10 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:50pm ET $188.13 0 $0.00 $17,803.10 $-184.71
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $184.74 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $190.88 0 $0.00 $18,392.06 +$588.96
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.60 99 $18,275.40
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:50am ET $207.10 99 $20,502.41 $20,619.06 +$2,227.00
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
16.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,619.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,619.06
Total Return: +106.19%
Back to Surge PRO