Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 16:56:27

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
28.3/35
Total Return
17.7/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
5.6/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 58.8/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 54.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,957
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,406.65
Current Value
$23,340.62
Period P&L
$5,850.51
Max Drawdown
-16.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+14.45%
Worst Trade
-6.48%
Avg Trade Return
+2.47%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$117,927.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,850.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,850.51
Gross Return
+33.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+33.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $17,406.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:00pm ET $27.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 1:30pm ET $27.22 0 $0.00 $17,490.11 +$83.46
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 1:00pm ET $27.48 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:10am ET $27.14 0 $0.00 $17,273.87 $-216.24
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $27.33 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $28.50 0 $0.00 $18,013.25 +$739.38
(+4.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $29.14 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $27.25 0 $0.00 $16,845.60 $-1,167.65
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $27.05 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $27.84 0 $0.00 $17,338.54 +$492.94
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $27.93 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $27.63 0 $0.00 $17,150.49 $-188.05
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:45pm ET $26.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET $26.23 0 $0.00 $16,695.75 $-454.74
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $26.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $26.43 0 $0.00 $16,491.64 $-204.11
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $21.03 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $20.79 0 $0.00 $16,299.64 $-192.00
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $21.51 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $21.27 0 $0.00 $16,116.60 $-183.04
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $15.47 1,041 $16,104.27
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $17.70 1,041 $18,430.90 $18,443.23 +$2,326.63
(+14.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.54 1,051 $18,434.54
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $19.80 1,051 $20,809.80 $20,818.49 +$2,375.26
(+12.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
13 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $16.50 1,261 $20,812.80
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:35am ET $18.51 1,261 $23,334.93 $23,340.62 +$2,522.13
(+12.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,340.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,340.62
Total Return: +133.41%
Back to Surge PRO