Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:59:34

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

44
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.9/35
Total Return
18.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.2/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 45.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 44.5

30-Day Momentum

65
+52.3%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
7.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 92.9 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,874
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
123 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,345.39
Current Value
$29,642.93
Period P&L
$14,297.54
Max Drawdown
-32.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
15 / 15
Best Trade
+15.03%
Worst Trade
-10.92%
Avg Trade Return
+2.45%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$403,621.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$14,297.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$14,297.54
Gross Return
+93.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+93.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 123 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $15,345.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 1:00pm ET $42.10 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET $45.00 0 $0.00 $16,400.99 +$1,055.60
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 1:00pm ET $42.64 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:30am ET $43.72 0 $0.00 $16,816.59 +$415.60
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 1:00pm ET $36.09 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:00am ET $39.85 0 $0.00 $18,563.08 +$1,746.49
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 1:00pm ET $41.90 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET $44.06 0 $0.00 $19,520.93 +$957.85
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 1:00pm ET $44.72 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 2:40pm ET $44.20 0 $0.00 $19,294.21 $-226.72
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 1:00pm ET $46.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET $45.05 0 $0.00 $18,839.09 $-455.12
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 1:00pm ET $48.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 10:00am ET $47.65 0 $0.00 $18,567.37 $-271.72
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 1:40pm ET $40.31 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET $35.91 0 $0.00 $16,542.86 $-2,024.51
(-10.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 1:00pm ET $37.28 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 1:55pm ET $36.90 0 $0.00 $16,374.52 $-168.34
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:30pm ET $42.37 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 2:35pm ET $43.45 0 $0.00 $16,790.78 +$416.26
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:00pm ET $43.84 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 2:30pm ET $43.58 0 $0.00 $16,691.20 $-99.58
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $49.55 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $53.46 0 $0.00 $18,004.96 +$1,313.76
(+7.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $53.94 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $52.06 0 $0.00 $17,377.26 $-627.70
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $49.96 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $54.21 0 $0.00 $18,852.01 +$1,474.75
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $55.03 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $59.90 0 $0.00 $20,516.87 +$1,664.86
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $67.25 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $70.22 0 $0.00 $21,422.72 +$905.85
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:00pm ET $72.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $70.95 0 $0.00 $21,008.32 $-414.40
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $66.45 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $65.13 0 $0.00 $20,589.59 $-418.73
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $61.41 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $63.28 0 $0.00 $21,216.04 +$626.45
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $64.26 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $63.27 0 $0.00 $20,889.34 $-326.70
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $52.14 400 $20,856.04
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $49.06 400 $19,624.00 $19,657.30 $-1,232.04
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $54.38 361 $19,631.18
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $52.00 361 $18,772.00 $18,798.12 $-859.18
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $47.56 395 $18,786.20
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $45.41 395 $17,936.95 $17,948.87 $-849.25
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $49.97 359 $17,941.02
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.12 359 $16,916.08 $16,923.93 $-1,024.94
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $54.63 309 $16,880.67
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $52.25 309 $16,145.25 $16,188.51 $-735.42
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $68.78 235 $16,163.32
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $77.22 235 $18,146.70 $18,171.89 +$1,983.38
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $83.04 218 $18,102.72
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET $93.37 218 $20,354.66 $20,423.83 +$2,251.94
(+12.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $98.35 207 $20,357.42
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $110.87 207 $22,950.09 $23,016.51 +$2,592.68
(+12.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $114.74 200 $22,948.00
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $128.51 200 $25,701.80 $25,770.31 +$2,753.80
(+12.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
30 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $135.62 190 $25,767.38
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $156.00 190 $29,640.00 $29,642.93 +$3,872.62
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $29,642.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$19,642.93
Total Return: +196.43%
Back to Surge PRO