TQQQ Surge PRO's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 31 trades in period
+29.51%
Last 6 Months Return
$23,090.38
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$18,482.25
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
61
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
30.5/35
Total Return
17.6/25
Win Rate
3.1/15
Profit Factor
4.3/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
61.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 60.7
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,637
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$18,482.25
Current Value
$23,090.38
Period P&L
$5,454.39
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
13 /
18
Best Trade
+12.16%
Worst Trade
-5.50%
Avg Trade Return
+0.81%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$185,806.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,454.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,454.39
Gross Return
+29.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.51%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $18,482.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 1:00pm ET | $57.11 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $54.49 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,635.99 |
$-846.26 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $52.87 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $55.87 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,634.19 |
+$998.20 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 2:25pm ET | $56.17 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $55.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,437.24 |
$-196.95 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 1:50pm ET | $56.07 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:15am ET | $55.50 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,250.18 |
$-187.06 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET | $52.60 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:05am ET | $51.76 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,961.30 |
$-288.88 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 1:00pm ET | $51.55 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 10:05am ET | $52.85 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,413.35 |
+$452.05 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 1:00pm ET | $53.71 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $53.55 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,360.37 |
$-52.98 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 1:00pm ET | $54.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 2:45pm ET | $53.90 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,169.97 |
$-190.40 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $55.52 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 11:00am ET | $54.91 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,972.13 |
$-197.84 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 1:00pm ET | $56.13 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $55.52 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,776.93 |
$-195.20 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:05pm ET | $56.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $54.41 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,226.08 |
$-550.85 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 1:40pm ET | $55.87 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $54.63 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,844.16 |
$-381.92 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 3:35pm ET | $52.63 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $52.00 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,643.94 |
$-200.22 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 1:15pm ET | $52.15 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 2:00pm ET | $51.61 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,470.24 |
$-173.70 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 1:30pm ET | $54.80 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 10:55am ET | $55.54 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,691.49 |
+$221.25 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 1:45pm ET | $54.94 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:15pm ET | $55.68 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,917.22 |
+$225.73 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $55.68 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 3:35pm ET | $55.09 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,740.39 |
$-176.83 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $55.61 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 1:30pm ET | $56.11 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,890.65 |
+$150.26 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 1:35pm ET | $56.10 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $55.47 | 0 | $0.00 | $16,701.02 |
$-189.63 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $52.47 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET | $53.82 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,128.70 |
+$427.68 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 1:00pm ET | $54.30 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 1:30pm ET | $55.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,533.47 |
+$404.77 (+2.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:35pm ET | $55.46 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 2:05pm ET | $56.58 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,885.84 |
+$352.37 (+2.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 2:10pm ET | $56.64 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:40pm ET | $57.04 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,011.84 |
+$126.00 (+0.7%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET | $55.62 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $55.06 | 0 | $0.00 | $17,831.93 |
$-179.91 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $50.42 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $51.68 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,278.47 |
+$446.54 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $51.92 | 0 | $0.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $51.41 | 0 | $0.00 | $18,100.71 |
$-177.76 (-1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.35 | 382 | $18,089.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $44.75 | 382 | $17,094.50 | $17,105.60 |
$-995.11 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $45.06 | 379 | $17,077.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $43.20 | 379 | $16,372.80 | $16,400.66 |
$-704.94 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $39.25 | 417 | $16,367.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $43.97 | 417 | $18,335.49 | $18,368.90 |
+$1,968.24 (+12.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $48.75 | 376 | $18,330.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 11:45am ET | $54.68 | 376 | $20,559.38 | $20,598.28 |
+$2,229.38 (+12.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.87 | 355 | $20,543.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $64.89 | 355 | $23,035.95 | $23,090.38 |
+$2,492.10 (+12.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$23,090.38
Net Profit/Loss:
+$13,090.38
Total Return:
+130.90%