Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:16:57

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.2/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
6.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 46.9/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 35.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,602
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,492.79
Current Value
$14,064.66
Period P&L
$1,606.17
Max Drawdown
-9.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
10 / 6
Best Trade
+6.63%
Worst Trade
-2.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.76%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$0.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,606.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,606.17
Gross Return
+12.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $12,492.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 1:00pm ET $39.62 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 1:30pm ET $39.51 0 $0.00 $12,458.49 $-34.30
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 1:00pm ET $40.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 1:30pm ET $40.88 0 $0.00 $12,525.81 +$67.32
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:00pm ET $40.90 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET $40.78 0 $0.00 $12,489.09 $-36.72
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 1:00pm ET $41.93 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:00am ET $41.07 0 $0.00 $12,233.67 $-255.42
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 3:45pm ET $40.88 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET $40.90 0 $0.00 $12,241.17 +$7.50
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 1:00pm ET $40.32 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 10:25am ET $40.68 0 $0.00 $12,348.73 +$107.56
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 1:45pm ET $40.72 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 2:15pm ET $40.94 0 $0.00 $12,414.24 +$65.51
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $39.69 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET $39.27 0 $0.00 $12,281.76 $-132.48
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $39.64 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:10am ET $39.21 0 $0.00 $12,150.37 $-131.39
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 1:40pm ET $40.04 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:00am ET $42.70 0 $0.00 $12,954.84 +$804.47
(+6.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:00pm ET $43.71 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $44.26 0 $0.00 $13,117.88 +$163.04
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:00pm ET $46.15 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $46.65 0 $0.00 $13,259.88 +$142.00
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:30pm ET $47.31 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET $46.82 0 $0.00 $13,125.43 $-134.45
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $46.82 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $47.71 0 $0.00 $13,373.23 +$247.80
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $47.71 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:30am ET $48.94 0 $0.00 $13,719.03 +$345.80
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $48.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:55am ET $49.99 0 $0.00 $14,064.66 +$345.63
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,064.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,064.66
Total Return: +40.65%
Back to Surge PRO