Compendium › Surge PRO › WMT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
WMT
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge PRO's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 26 trades in period

+16.75%
Last 6 Months Return
$14,538.76
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$12,452.98
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:09:59

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
22.3/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
5.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 53.9/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 40.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,035
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,452.98
Current Value
$14,538.76
Period P&L
$2,085.78
Max Drawdown
-7.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.44

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
15 / 11
Best Trade
+2.75%
Worst Trade
-1.27%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$0.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,085.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,085.78
Gross Return
+16.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $12,452.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:35pm ET $102.80 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 11:30am ET $101.77 0 $0.00 $12,328.51 $-124.47
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 1:05pm ET $103.39 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 1:35pm ET $103.11 0 $0.00 $12,295.19 $-33.32
(-0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET $101.71 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 1:30pm ET $102.76 0 $0.00 $12,421.21 +$126.02
(+1.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 1:00pm ET $106.77 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 11:30am ET $109.47 0 $0.00 $12,733.83 +$312.62
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:00pm ET $109.17 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET $111.27 0 $0.00 $12,976.85 +$243.02
(+1.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 1:00pm ET $111.64 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 1:30pm ET $111.70 0 $0.00 $12,983.23 +$6.38
(+0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 2:40pm ET $112.02 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 3:05pm ET $114.84 0 $0.00 $13,308.09 +$324.86
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 3:10pm ET $114.73 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:15am ET $113.57 0 $0.00 $13,174.49 $-133.60
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 1:40pm ET $114.65 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 2:10pm ET $115.30 0 $0.00 $13,248.60 +$74.11
(+0.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 1:45pm ET $114.39 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 2:15pm ET $113.55 0 $0.00 $13,152.57 $-96.03
(-0.7%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 1:00pm ET $115.09 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 1:30pm ET $116.02 0 $0.00 $13,259.13 +$106.56
(+0.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 2:55pm ET $116.73 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 3:25pm ET $116.59 0 $0.00 $13,243.31 $-15.82
(-0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 3:05pm ET $112.54 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 3:35pm ET $112.07 0 $0.00 $13,187.75 $-55.56
(-0.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $112.34 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $113.57 0 $0.00 $13,331.41 +$143.66
(+1.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $113.96 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $112.50 0 $0.00 $13,163.04 $-168.37
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $113.06 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $114.48 0 $0.00 $13,327.76 +$164.72
(+1.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $115.07 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:50am ET $118.01 0 $0.00 $13,665.86 +$338.10
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $118.48 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $120.15 0 $0.00 $13,857.91 +$192.05
(+1.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $120.24 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $120.13 0 $0.00 $13,845.26 $-12.65
(-0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $120.43 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $119.02 0 $0.00 $13,684.86 $-160.40
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $119.28 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:15pm ET $118.09 0 $0.00 $13,548.29 $-136.57
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:00pm ET $117.86 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET $120.99 0 $0.00 $13,905.11 +$356.82
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $123.42 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:30am ET $126.62 0 $0.00 $14,264.07 +$358.96
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:00pm ET $127.77 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $128.07 0 $0.00 $14,297.37 +$33.30
(+0.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $130.10 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $128.76 0 $0.00 $14,150.76 $-146.61
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $129.57 0 $0.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET $133.13 0 $0.00 $14,538.76 +$388.00
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,538.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,538.76
Total Return: +45.39%
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