Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:48:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score PRO Scored May 6, 2026

75
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.6/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
11.6/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 77.3/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 74.6

30-Day Momentum

55
+49.9%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,322
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$19,060.71
Current Value
$39,837.44
Period P&L
$20,776.73
Max Drawdown
-21.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.89

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+21.43%
Worst Trade
-1.15%
Avg Trade Return
+6.62%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$233,074.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$20,776.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$20,776.73
Gross Return
+109.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+109.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $19,060.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $209.31 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $220.58 0 $0.00 $20,086.28 +$1,025.57
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $221.69 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $236.67 0 $0.00 $21,434.20 +$1,347.92
(+6.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $237.89 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $235.15 0 $0.00 $21,187.15 $-247.05
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $247.93 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:45am ET $255.34 0 $0.00 $21,817.42 +$630.27
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $254.87 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET $263.21 0 $0.00 $22,526.16 +$708.74
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $248.62 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $245.91 0 $0.00 $22,282.26 $-243.90
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $208.38 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $206.27 0 $0.00 $22,058.60 $-223.66
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $215.83 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $214.26 0 $0.00 $21,898.46 $-160.14
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $197.85 110 $21,763.50
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $225.40 110 $24,793.99 $24,928.95 +$3,030.49
(+13.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $232.37 107 $24,863.59
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $264.93 107 $28,347.51 $28,412.87 +$3,483.92
(+14.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $291.27 97 $28,253.19
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $336.83 97 $32,672.99 $32,832.68 +$4,419.81
(+15.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $351.48 93 $32,687.64
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $426.80 93 $39,692.40 $39,837.44 +$7,004.76
(+21.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $39,837.44
Net Profit/Loss: +$29,837.44
Total Return: +298.37%
Back to Surge PRO