Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:31:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.4/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 31.8/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 30.4

30-Day Momentum

9
+2.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.5 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,248
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$17,625.62
Current Value
$15,028.96
Period P&L
$-2,596.66
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
2 / 11
Best Trade
+12.20%
Worst Trade
-5.63%
Avg Trade Return
-1.12%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$183,509.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,596.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,596.66
Gross Return
-14.73%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $17,625.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 3:20pm ET $115.86 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $120.12 0 $0.00 $18,272.99 +$647.37
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $121.89 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:25am ET $120.52 0 $0.00 $18,068.85 $-204.14
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $117.14 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $115.76 0 $0.00 $17,856.33 $-212.52
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $119.53 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET $118.06 0 $0.00 $17,636.85 $-219.48
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $109.26 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $107.97 0 $0.00 $17,429.95 $-206.90
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $83.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $82.72 0 $0.00 $17,233.39 $-196.56
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $88.54 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $87.54 0 $0.00 $17,039.39 $-194.00
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $75.08 226 $16,968.08
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $71.61 226 $16,183.86 $16,255.17 $-784.22
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $72.05 225 $16,211.25
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $68.74 225 $15,466.50 $15,510.42 $-744.75
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $71.20 217 $15,450.40
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $67.19 217 $14,581.10 $14,641.12 $-869.30
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $76.96 190 $14,623.35
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $73.46 190 $13,956.45 $13,974.22 $-666.90
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $75.24 185 $13,919.40
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $84.42 185 $15,617.70 $15,672.52 +$1,698.30
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 173 $15,587.30
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $86.38 173 $14,943.74 $15,028.96 $-643.56
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,028.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,028.96
Total Return: +50.29%
Back to Surge PRO