Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score PRO Scored May 6, 2026

73
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.0/25
Win Rate
3.9/15
Profit Factor
8.9/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 73.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 72.9

30-Day Momentum

55
+50.0%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
3
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,474
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$18,579.18
Current Value
$29,427.06
Period P&L
$10,847.88
Max Drawdown
-19.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.58

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+18.92%
Worst Trade
-5.05%
Avg Trade Return
+3.83%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$186,634.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$10,847.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$10,847.88
Gross Return
+58.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+58.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $18,579.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $309.54 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:20am ET $317.88 0 $0.00 $19,079.58 +$500.40
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $335.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:20am ET $344.44 0 $0.00 $19,570.68 +$491.10
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $341.11 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:30pm ET $344.68 0 $0.00 $19,774.40 +$203.72
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $383.40 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $392.99 0 $0.00 $20,263.49 +$489.09
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $414.10 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $427.65 0 $0.00 $20,913.89 +$650.40
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $437.85 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET $433.22 0 $0.00 $20,696.04 $-217.85
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $442.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $437.58 0 $0.00 $20,476.78 $-219.26
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $395.69 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $383.05 0 $0.00 $19,832.27 $-644.51
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 3:10pm ET $411.76 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET $429.02 0 $0.00 $20,660.99 +$828.72
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $446.54 46 $20,540.84
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $424.00 46 $19,504.00 $19,624.15 $-1,036.84
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $348.28 56 $19,503.68
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $414.18 56 $23,194.36 $23,314.83 +$3,690.68
(+18.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $436.00 53 $23,108.00
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $489.45 53 $25,940.59 $26,147.42 +$2,832.59
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $495.80 52 $25,781.60
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $558.87 52 $29,061.24 $29,427.06 +$3,279.64
(+12.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $29,427.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$19,427.06
Total Return: +194.27%
Back to Surge PRO