Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 05:20:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.1/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 34.4/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 33.2

30-Day Momentum

11
+3.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.8 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,509
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$16,757.34
Current Value
$18,376.87
Period P&L
$1,619.53
Max Drawdown
-21.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+12.41%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.92%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$162,911.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,619.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,619.53
Gross Return
+9.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $16,757.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $194.36 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $194.22 0 $0.00 $16,745.02 $-12.32
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $197.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:00am ET $203.22 0 $0.00 $17,260.78 +$515.76
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $204.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:30am ET $201.96 0 $0.00 $17,082.70 $-178.08
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $190.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $183.58 0 $0.00 $16,426.77 $-655.93
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $177.89 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:05pm ET $175.99 0 $0.00 $16,251.51 $-175.26
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $157.50 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $161.53 0 $0.00 $16,666.60 +$415.09
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:00pm ET $162.50 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $160.83 0 $0.00 $16,496.27 $-170.33
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $166.00 99 $16,434.00
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:40pm ET $159.23 99 $15,763.28 $15,825.55 $-670.72
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $151.00 104 $15,704.00
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:45am ET $144.91 104 $15,070.64 $15,192.19 $-633.36
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $166.59 91 $15,159.69
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:10am ET $187.07 91 $17,023.82 $17,056.33 +$1,864.14
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $179.95 94 $16,915.30
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $172.48 94 $16,213.12 $16,354.15 $-702.18
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $166.35 98 $16,302.30
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:35am ET $186.99 98 $18,325.02 $18,376.87 +$2,022.72
(+12.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,376.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,376.87
Total Return: +83.77%
Back to Surge PRO