Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:47:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.7/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 38.2/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 36.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-11.9%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,443
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$19,350.58
Current Value
$16,853.13
Period P&L
$-2,497.45
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.76

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
1 / 7
Best Trade
+2.68%
Worst Trade
-4.27%
Avg Trade Return
-1.69%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$107,362.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,497.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,497.45
Gross Return
-12.91%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.91%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $19,350.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $179.53 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:40am ET $184.35 0 $0.00 $19,866.32 +$515.74
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $185.97 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:15pm ET $183.79 0 $0.00 $19,635.24 $-231.08
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $169.70 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $168.90 0 $0.00 $19,543.24 $-92.00
(-0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $136.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $135.42 0 $0.00 $19,325.98 $-217.26
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $144.84 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $143.32 0 $0.00 $19,123.81 $-202.17
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $154.76 123 $19,036.09
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:00am ET $148.38 123 $18,250.74 $18,338.46 $-785.35
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $145.75 125 $18,218.75
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $139.86 125 $17,482.50 $17,602.21 $-736.25
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
8 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $143.95 122 $17,561.90
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:05am ET $137.81 122 $16,812.82 $16,853.13 $-749.08
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,853.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,853.13
Total Return: +68.53%
Back to Surge PRO