Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-08 01:06:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.36%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.3/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 63.6/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 61.9

30-Day Momentum

52
+30.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
3.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 84.8 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,004
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$19,462.03
Current Value
$23,924.96
Period P&L
$4,462.93
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
7 / 10
Best Trade
+21.47%
Worst Trade
-5.84%
Avg Trade Return
+1.41%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$200,548.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,462.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,462.93
Gross Return
+22.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $19,462.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $14.08 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $14.66 0 $0.00 $20,270.50 +$808.47
(+4.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $14.93 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $14.78 0 $0.00 $20,066.95 $-203.55
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $15.25 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:00am ET $14.91 0 $0.00 $19,626.09 $-440.86
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $15.66 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $15.45 0 $0.00 $19,358.70 $-267.39
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:15pm ET $15.67 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:35pm ET $16.06 0 $0.00 $19,847.27 +$488.57
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $17.42 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $17.86 0 $0.00 $20,348.43 +$501.16
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $18.82 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $18.63 0 $0.00 $20,143.04 $-205.39
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $17.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $17.66 0 $0.00 $19,817.66 $-325.38
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $17.12 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $17.57 0 $0.00 $20,338.31 +$520.65
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $15.65 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $15.48 0 $0.00 $20,123.98 $-214.33
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $14.18 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET $14.56 0 $0.00 $20,670.29 +$546.31
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $14.95 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $14.78 0 $0.00 $20,435.21 $-235.08
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $15.02 1,360 $20,427.20
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:40pm ET $14.33 1,360 $19,488.80 $19,496.81 $-938.40
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $12.68 1,537 $19,489.16
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $11.94 1,537 $18,351.78 $18,359.43 $-1,137.38
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $15.49 1,185 $18,355.65
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:00pm ET $17.35 1,185 $20,565.67 $20,569.45 +$2,210.02
(+12.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.53 1,173 $20,562.69
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET $16.78 1,173 $19,688.80 $19,695.56 $-873.89
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
17 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $18.58 1,060 $19,694.80
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $22.57 1,060 $23,924.20 $23,924.96 +$4,229.40
(+21.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $23,924.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$13,924.96
Total Return: +139.25%
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