Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:26

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

44
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.9/35
Total Return
18.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.2/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 45.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 44.5

30-Day Momentum

65
+52.3%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
7.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 92.9 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,918
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
86 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$16,691.20
Current Value
$29,642.93
Period P&L
$12,951.73
Max Drawdown
-32.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.46

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
10 / 9
Best Trade
+15.03%
Worst Trade
-5.91%
Avg Trade Return
+3.33%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$403,621.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$12,951.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$12,951.73
Gross Return
+77.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+77.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 86 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $16,691.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $49.55 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $53.46 0 $0.00 $18,004.96 +$1,313.76
(+7.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $53.94 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $52.06 0 $0.00 $17,377.26 $-627.70
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $49.96 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $54.21 0 $0.00 $18,852.01 +$1,474.75
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $55.03 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $59.90 0 $0.00 $20,516.87 +$1,664.86
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $67.25 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $70.22 0 $0.00 $21,422.72 +$905.85
(+4.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 1:00pm ET $72.35 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $70.95 0 $0.00 $21,008.32 $-414.40
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $66.45 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $65.13 0 $0.00 $20,589.59 $-418.73
(-2.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $61.41 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $63.28 0 $0.00 $21,216.04 +$626.45
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $64.26 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $63.27 0 $0.00 $20,889.34 $-326.70
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $52.14 400 $20,856.04
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $49.06 400 $19,624.00 $19,657.30 $-1,232.04
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $54.38 361 $19,631.18
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $52.00 361 $18,772.00 $18,798.12 $-859.18
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $47.56 395 $18,786.20
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $45.41 395 $17,936.95 $17,948.87 $-849.25
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $49.97 359 $17,941.02
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.12 359 $16,916.08 $16,923.93 $-1,024.94
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $54.63 309 $16,880.67
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:05am ET $52.25 309 $16,145.25 $16,188.51 $-735.42
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $68.78 235 $16,163.32
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $77.22 235 $18,146.70 $18,171.89 +$1,983.38
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $83.04 218 $18,102.72
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:10am ET $93.37 218 $20,354.66 $20,423.83 +$2,251.94
(+12.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $98.35 207 $20,357.42
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $110.87 207 $22,950.09 $23,016.51 +$2,592.68
(+12.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $114.74 200 $22,948.00
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:00am ET $128.51 200 $25,701.80 $25,770.31 +$2,753.80
(+12.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
19 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $135.62 190 $25,767.38
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $156.00 190 $29,640.00 $29,642.93 +$3,872.62
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $29,642.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$19,642.93
Total Return: +196.43%
Back to Surge PRO