Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:10:27

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
22.3/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
5.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 53.9/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 40.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,190
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,187.75
Current Value
$14,538.76
Period P&L
$1,351.01
Max Drawdown
-7.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.51

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+2.75%
Worst Trade
-1.27%
Avg Trade Return
+0.77%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$0.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,351.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,351.01
Gross Return
+10.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $13,187.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $112.34 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $113.57 0 $0.00 $13,331.41 +$143.66
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $113.96 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $112.50 0 $0.00 $13,163.04 $-168.37
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $113.06 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $114.48 0 $0.00 $13,327.76 +$164.72
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $115.07 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:50am ET $118.01 0 $0.00 $13,665.86 +$338.10
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $118.48 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $120.15 0 $0.00 $13,857.91 +$192.05
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $120.24 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $120.13 0 $0.00 $13,845.26 $-12.65
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $120.43 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $119.02 0 $0.00 $13,684.86 $-160.40
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $119.28 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:15pm ET $118.09 0 $0.00 $13,548.29 $-136.57
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:00pm ET $117.86 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET $120.99 0 $0.00 $13,905.11 +$356.82
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $123.42 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:30am ET $126.62 0 $0.00 $14,264.07 +$358.96
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 1:00pm ET $127.77 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $128.07 0 $0.00 $14,297.37 +$33.30
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:00pm ET $130.10 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $128.76 0 $0.00 $14,150.76 $-146.61
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $129.57 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET $133.13 0 $0.00 $14,538.76 +$388.00
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,538.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,538.76
Total Return: +45.39%
Back to Surge PRO