Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 12:27:29

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.1/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 23.6/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 18.5

30-Day Momentum

18
+7.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.9 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
24,954
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
263 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,371.31
Current Value
$11,315.03
Period P&L
$943.72
Max Drawdown
-5.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
5 / 9
Best Trade
+12.40%
Worst Trade
-8.68%
Avg Trade Return
+0.79%
Avg Hold Time
13.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$95,483.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$943.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$943.72
Gross Return
+9.10%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 263 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Torque had $10,371.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $274.05 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 12:10pm ET $281.82 0 $0.00 $10,658.80 +$287.49
(+2.8%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 9:45am ET $286.84 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 11:00am ET $285.29 0 $0.00 $10,601.33 $-57.47
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 9:30am ET $297.54 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET $298.42 0 $0.00 $10,632.16 +$30.83
(+0.3%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 9:35am ET $283.27 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 10:55am ET $282.73 0 $0.00 $10,612.18 $-19.98
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 9:35am ET $291.13 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 12:45pm ET $305.77 0 $0.00 $11,139.40 +$527.22
(+5.0%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:40am ET $316.06 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:45am ET $311.21 0 $0.00 $10,969.47 $-169.93
(-1.5%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $323.17 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:50am ET $320.89 0 $0.00 $10,894.23 $-75.24
(-0.7%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:55am ET $297.58 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET $296.22 0 $0.00 $10,845.27 $-48.96
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $298.10 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:30am ET $297.48 0 $0.00 $10,822.75 $-22.52
(-0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $317.36 0 $0.00
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:45am ET $308.08 0 $0.00 $10,507.06 $-315.69
(-2.9%)
TREND_BREAK
0m held
11 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $231.72 45 $10,427.40
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $260.46 45 $11,720.70 $11,800.36 +$1,293.30
(+12.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:40am ET $262.73 44 $11,560.12
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:35am ET $291.15 44 $12,810.60 $13,050.84 +$1,250.48
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:35am ET $317.29 41 $13,008.69
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:30pm ET $301.07 41 $12,343.87 $12,386.03 $-664.81
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:45am ET $274.26 45 $12,341.70
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $250.46 45 $11,270.70 $11,315.03 $-1,071.00
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,315.03
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,315.03
Total Return: +13.15%
Back to Torque