Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 12:27:57

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-0.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,738.30
Current Value
$7,490.64
Period P&L
$-1,247.65
Max Drawdown
-19.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
3 / 8
Best Trade
+10.22%
Worst Trade
-8.45%
Avg Trade Return
-1.34%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$181,599.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,247.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,247.65
Gross Return
-14.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Torque had $8,738.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:35am ET $57.97 153 $8,869.41
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $54.78 153 $8,382.10 $8,430.00 $-487.31
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $52.80 159 $8,395.20
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:20am ET $58.08 159 $9,235.51 $9,270.31 +$840.31
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $59.29 156 $9,249.24
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET $56.22 156 $8,770.32 $8,791.39 $-478.92
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $55.40 158 $8,753.20
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET $61.06 158 $9,647.48 $9,685.67 +$894.28
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:40am ET $62.04 156 $9,678.24
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $56.80 156 $8,860.80 $8,868.23 $-817.44
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
6 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:15am ET $46.94 188 $8,825.64
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $44.48 188 $8,362.24 $8,404.83 $-463.40
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
7 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:40am ET $45.10 186 $8,388.60
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:00am ET $42.69 186 $7,940.34 $7,956.57 $-448.26
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:35am ET $42.83 185 $7,923.55
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:40am ET $40.62 185 $7,514.70 $7,547.72 $-408.85
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:35am ET $44.69 168 $7,507.92
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $42.44 168 $7,129.92 $7,169.72 $-378.00
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:45am ET $44.03 162 $7,133.67
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $41.78 162 $6,767.55 $6,803.60 $-366.12
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $44.66 152 $6,788.32
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 2:50pm ET $49.18 152 $7,475.36 $7,490.64 +$687.04
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,490.64
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,509.36
Total Return: -25.09%
Back to Torque