AMD Lucky Strike's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 46 trades in period
+12.43%
Last Year Return
$11,554.36
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$10,277.15
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
20
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.9/35
Total Return
10.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
26.7/100
× Confidence 0.75
= 20.0
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,420
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$10,277.15
Current Value
$11,554.36
Period P&L
$1,277.21
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
46
Winners / Losers
17 /
29
Best Trade
+24.19%
Worst Trade
-6.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.43%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,048,066.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,277.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,277.21
Gross Return
+12.43%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.43%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 46 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $10,277.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 10:40am ET | $98.33 | 104 | $10,226.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $122.12 | 104 | $12,699.96 | $12,750.79 |
+$2,473.64 (+24.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2025 9:35am ET | $116.22 | 109 | $12,667.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $113.76 | 109 | $12,399.84 | $12,482.65 |
$-268.14 (-2.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 1:15pm ET | $114.20 | 109 | $12,447.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $108.64 | 109 | $11,841.76 | $11,876.61 |
$-606.04 (-4.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2025 9:35am ET | $114.42 | 103 | $11,785.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2025 9:35am ET | $110.83 | 103 | $11,415.49 | $11,506.84 |
$-369.77 (-3.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $113.82 | 101 | $11,495.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 3:20pm ET | $114.89 | 101 | $11,603.89 | $11,614.91 |
+$108.07 (+0.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $121.30 | 95 | $11,523.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2025 1:50pm ET | $119.38 | 95 | $11,341.10 | $11,432.90 |
$-182.01 (-1.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.1d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2025 11:20am ET | $128.14 | 89 | $11,404.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2025 11:00am ET | $127.79 | 89 | $11,373.29 | $11,401.73 |
$-31.17 (-0.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2025 12:30pm ET | $127.36 | 89 | $11,335.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 27, 2025 2:40pm ET | $142.16 | 89 | $12,651.80 | $12,718.49 |
+$1,316.76 (+11.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4.1d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $139.41 | 91 | $12,686.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2025 10:25am ET | $134.63 | 91 | $12,251.33 | $12,283.51 |
$-434.98 (-3.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $142.16 | 86 | $12,225.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $154.73 | 86 | $13,306.90 | $13,364.65 |
+$1,081.14 (+8.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
11d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2025 11:15am ET | $178.22 | 74 | $13,188.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $169.87 | 74 | $12,570.69 | $12,747.06 |
$-617.59 (-4.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $175.20 | 72 | $12,614.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $166.11 | 72 | $11,959.76 | $12,092.79 |
$-654.28 (-5.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2025 12:30pm ET | $172.49 | 70 | $12,074.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $170.11 | 70 | $11,907.56 | $11,926.05 |
$-166.74 (-1.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $172.07 | 69 | $11,872.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2025 11:35am ET | $179.93 | 69 | $12,415.14 | $12,468.35 |
+$542.31 (+4.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.1d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 9:50am ET | $176.72 | 70 | $12,370.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 9:50am ET | $170.50 | 70 | $11,935.00 | $12,032.95 |
$-435.40 (-3.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET | $160.84 | 74 | $11,902.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2025 9:50am ET | $162.29 | 74 | $12,009.09 | $12,139.88 |
+$106.93 (+0.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $167.29 | 72 | $12,044.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $158.30 | 72 | $11,397.24 | $11,492.25 |
$-647.63 (-5.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $159.65 | 71 | $11,335.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $154.69 | 71 | $10,982.99 | $11,140.12 |
$-352.12 (-3.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $150.16 | 74 | $11,111.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 10:10am ET | $156.25 | 74 | $11,562.50 | $11,591.15 |
+$451.03 (+4.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $159.66 | 72 | $11,495.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $152.00 | 72 | $10,944.00 | $11,039.61 |
$-551.55 (-4.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $156.77 | 70 | $10,973.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $156.87 | 70 | $10,980.98 | $11,046.68 |
+$7.07 (+0.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 26, 2025 10:20am ET | $158.97 | 69 | $10,968.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 3, 2025 1:40pm ET | $165.00 | 69 | $11,385.00 | $11,462.93 |
+$416.25 (+3.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 1:50pm ET | $207.94 | 55 | $11,436.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 1:55pm ET | $210.02 | 55 | $11,551.10 | $11,577.33 |
+$114.40 (+1.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 1:10pm ET | $231.44 | 50 | $11,572.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $216.91 | 50 | $10,845.51 | $10,850.83 |
$-726.50 (-6.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 1:05pm ET | $218.12 | 49 | $10,687.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $231.49 | 49 | $11,343.01 | $11,505.96 |
+$655.13 (+6.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 9:40am ET | $239.57 | 48 | $11,499.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 10:30am ET | $232.22 | 48 | $11,146.32 | $11,152.82 |
$-353.14 (-3.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $257.97 | 43 | $11,092.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 10:50am ET | $254.91 | 43 | $10,961.13 | $11,021.24 |
$-131.58 (-1.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 11:45am ET | $258.20 | 42 | $10,844.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $248.45 | 42 | $10,434.69 | $10,611.74 |
$-409.50 (-3.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $246.46 | 43 | $10,597.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 9:40am ET | $249.21 | 43 | $10,715.82 | $10,729.78 |
+$118.04 (+1.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:45am ET | $229.67 | 46 | $10,564.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:25am ET | $239.02 | 46 | $10,994.96 | $11,159.92 |
+$430.14 (+4.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 12:45pm ET | $255.61 | 43 | $10,991.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET | $248.08 | 43 | $10,667.44 | $10,836.13 |
$-323.79 (-2.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:35pm ET | $248.78 | 43 | $10,697.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 1:55pm ET | $240.50 | 43 | $10,341.50 | $10,480.09 |
$-356.04 (-3.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 2:20pm ET | $231.54 | 45 | $10,419.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 2:20pm ET | $221.33 | 45 | $9,959.85 | $10,020.75 |
$-459.34 (-4.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 2:30pm ET | $209.93 | 47 | $9,866.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET | $195.98 | 47 | $9,211.06 | $9,365.10 |
$-655.65 (-6.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $198.07 | 47 | $9,309.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET | $216.37 | 47 | $10,169.16 | $10,224.97 |
+$859.87 (+9.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $215.87 | 47 | $10,145.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $213.42 | 47 | $10,030.71 | $10,109.79 |
$-115.18 (-1.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:40am ET | $219.03 | 46 | $10,075.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 10:05am ET | $211.66 | 46 | $9,736.36 | $9,770.77 |
$-339.02 (-3.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 9:40am ET | $207.21 | 47 | $9,738.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 12:30pm ET | $222.44 | 47 | $10,454.68 | $10,486.58 |
+$715.81 (+7.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
19.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $207.93 | 50 | $10,396.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:10pm ET | $203.59 | 50 | $10,179.50 | $10,269.58 |
$-217.00 (-2.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $203.32 | 50 | $10,166.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:30pm ET | $229.58 | 50 | $11,479.00 | $11,582.58 |
+$1,313.00 (+12.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.3d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $229.49 | 50 | $11,474.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.31 | 50 | $12,715.51 | $12,823.59 |
+$1,241.01 (+10.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.94 | 51 | $12,746.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $248.14 | 51 | $12,655.14 | $12,731.79 |
$-91.80 (-0.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:20am ET | $242.60 | 52 | $12,615.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:35pm ET | $240.43 | 52 | $12,502.62 | $12,619.21 |
$-112.58 (-0.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4.1d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:40pm ET | $200.05 | 63 | $12,603.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $194.62 | 63 | $12,261.06 | $12,276.98 |
$-342.23 (-2.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $215.18 | 57 | $12,265.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $209.63 | 57 | $11,948.91 | $11,960.63 |
$-316.35 (-2.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.9d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:40am ET | $211.39 | 56 | $11,837.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $204.13 | 56 | $11,431.56 | $11,554.36 |
$-406.27 (-3.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,554.36
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,554.36
Total Return:
+15.54%