AVGO Lucky Strike's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-06-25 to present • 30 trades in period
-12.42%
Last Year Return
$13,342.38
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$15,234.39
Period Start
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.
Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.
Strategy Score Scored May 13, 2026
31
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
23.4/35
Total Return
12.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality
42.8/100
× Confidence 0.73
= 31.0
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
35,009
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-25 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$15,234.39
Current Value
$13,342.38
Period P&L
$-1,892.01
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
11 /
19
Best Trade
+13.86%
Worst Trade
-6.07%
Avg Trade Return
-0.36%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$878,658.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,892.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,892.01
Gross Return
-12.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.42%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $15,234.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2025 9:35am ET | $271.36 | 56 | $15,196.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 9:45am ET | $280.10 | 56 | $15,685.60 | $15,723.65 |
+$489.27 (+3.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
21d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2025 10:40am ET | $299.97 | 52 | $15,598.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 1, 2025 9:45am ET | $281.77 | 52 | $14,652.04 | $14,777.25 |
$-946.40 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2025 10:40am ET | $293.80 | 50 | $14,690.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 9:45am ET | $304.18 | 50 | $15,209.00 | $15,296.25 |
+$519.00 (+3.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
10d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 9:50am ET | $300.52 | 50 | $15,025.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 12:40pm ET | $295.07 | 50 | $14,753.45 | $15,023.95 |
$-272.31 (-1.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $296.28 | 50 | $14,814.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2025 9:45am ET | $299.35 | 50 | $14,967.50 | $15,177.45 |
+$153.50 (+1.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 5, 2025 10:40am ET | $335.56 | 45 | $15,100.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2025 10:30am ET | $339.84 | 45 | $15,292.79 | $15,370.04 |
+$192.59 (+1.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2025 1:00pm ET | $366.08 | 41 | $15,009.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $352.69 | 41 | $14,460.29 | $14,821.04 |
$-548.99 (-3.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6.9d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $344.53 | 43 | $14,814.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $335.84 | 43 | $14,441.12 | $14,447.59 |
$-373.46 (-2.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $331.58 | 43 | $14,257.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 29, 2025 3:50pm ET | $328.16 | 43 | $14,110.67 | $14,300.53 |
$-147.06 (-1.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4.3d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 1:00pm ET | $338.47 | 42 | $14,215.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET | $330.43 | 42 | $13,878.06 | $13,962.85 |
$-337.68 (-2.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 11:20am ET | $343.07 | 40 | $13,722.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $335.38 | 40 | $13,415.20 | $13,655.25 |
$-307.60 (-2.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $347.48 | 39 | $13,551.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 2:15pm ET | $349.79 | 39 | $13,641.81 | $13,745.34 |
+$90.09 (+0.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $346.48 | 39 | $13,512.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 30, 2025 10:50am ET | $372.48 | 39 | $14,526.61 | $14,759.23 |
+$1,013.89 (+7.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
9.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 11:45am ET | $371.31 | 39 | $14,481.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 11:55am ET | $359.25 | 39 | $14,010.75 | $14,288.89 |
$-470.34 (-3.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $358.83 | 39 | $13,994.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $344.53 | 39 | $13,436.67 | $13,731.19 |
$-557.70 (-4.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.7d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 9:40am ET | $356.36 | 38 | $13,541.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $344.21 | 38 | $13,080.14 | $13,269.66 |
$-461.54 (-3.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $336.16 | 39 | $13,110.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET | $361.74 | 39 | $14,107.86 | $14,267.28 |
+$997.62 (+7.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2.1d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 3:50pm ET | $340.30 | 41 | $13,952.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 9:40am ET | $387.45 | 41 | $15,885.45 | $16,200.43 |
+$1,933.15 (+13.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
9.7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET | $381.28 | 42 | $16,013.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 9:45am ET | $398.67 | 42 | $16,743.93 | $16,930.60 |
+$730.17 (+4.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
8.9d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:45am ET | $369.30 | 45 | $16,618.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $355.84 | 45 | $16,012.85 | $16,325.17 |
$-605.43 (-3.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:40am ET | $338.34 | 48 | $16,240.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:40am ET | $325.95 | 48 | $15,645.60 | $15,730.45 |
$-594.72 (-3.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET | $341.02 | 46 | $15,687.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 12:55pm ET | $347.05 | 46 | $15,964.07 | $16,007.47 |
+$277.02 (+1.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
10.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $339.38 | 47 | $15,950.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $335.68 | 47 | $15,776.96 | $15,833.57 |
$-173.90 (-1.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $349.65 | 45 | $15,734.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $340.13 | 45 | $15,305.63 | $15,404.94 |
$-428.62 (-2.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:30am ET | $329.34 | 46 | $15,149.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.67 | 46 | $14,520.82 | $14,776.18 |
$-628.76 (-4.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $330.11 | 44 | $14,524.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET | $321.43 | 44 | $14,143.10 | $14,394.44 |
$-381.74 (-2.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $329.13 | 43 | $14,152.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $323.40 | 43 | $13,906.20 | $14,148.05 |
$-246.39 (-1.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET | $310.92 | 45 | $13,991.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $313.04 | 45 | $14,086.58 | $14,243.45 |
+$95.40 (+0.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $343.60 | 41 | $14,087.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $334.13 | 41 | $13,699.33 | $13,855.18 |
$-388.27 (-2.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $338.40 | 40 | $13,536.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $325.58 | 40 | $13,023.40 | $13,342.38 |
$-512.80 (-3.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,342.38
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,342.38
Total Return:
+33.42%