Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:37:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 57%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.2/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
4.3/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 43.9/100
× Confidence 0.57 = 25.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (57%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,063
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,671.92
Current Value
$12,735.75
Period P&L
$1,063.84
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
6 / 6
Best Trade
+7.95%
Worst Trade
-4.45%
Avg Trade Return
+1.30%
Avg Hold Time
18.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$294,041.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,063.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,063.84
Gross Return
+9.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $11,671.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 1:10pm ET $186.85 58 $10,837.01
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 9:30am ET $201.70 58 $11,698.60 $11,865.64 +$861.59
(+8.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
29.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $201.25 58 $11,672.50
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2025 9:30am ET $208.26 58 $12,079.08 $12,272.22 +$406.58
(+3.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
26d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2025 9:30am ET $208.29 58 $12,080.82
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 11:30am ET $217.35 58 $12,606.30 $12,797.70 +$525.48
(+4.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
23.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET $225.46 56 $12,625.76
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $215.43 56 $12,064.08 $12,236.02 $-561.68
(-4.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
8d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:30am ET $228.69 53 $12,120.57
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:35am ET $238.06 53 $12,617.18 $12,732.63 +$496.61
(+4.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
42d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET $244.01 52 $12,688.52
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 9:40am ET $243.52 52 $12,663.04 $12,707.15 $-25.48
(-0.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
6.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET $246.34 51 $12,563.34
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 10:25am ET $242.68 51 $12,376.68 $12,520.49 $-186.66
(-1.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
13.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $237.97 52 $12,374.44
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET $237.62 52 $12,356.24 $12,502.29 $-18.20
(-0.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
6.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $236.70 52 $12,308.40
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:50pm ET $230.44 52 $11,982.88 $12,176.77 $-325.52
(-2.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
3.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $245.88 49 $12,048.12
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 12:55pm ET $248.85 49 $12,193.65 $12,322.30 +$145.53
(+1.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
15.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:30am ET $252.73 48 $12,131.04
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:10am ET $261.90 48 $12,571.20 $12,762.46 +$440.16
(+3.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
37d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $259.27 49 $12,704.47
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 12:55pm ET $258.73 49 $12,677.77 $12,735.75 $-26.70
(-0.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
7.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,735.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,735.75
Total Return: +27.36%
Back to Lucky Strike