Compendium › Lucky Strike › META
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
META
Alpaca Tradeable

Lucky Strike's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 25 trades in period

-6.33%
Last Year Return
$9,465.41
Current Value
28%
Win Rate
$10,105.28
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 08:43:00

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 67%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 5.4/100
× Confidence 0.67 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (67%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,455
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,105.28
Current Value
$9,465.41
Period P&L
$-639.87
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
7 / 18
Best Trade
+21.19%
Worst Trade
-6.05%
Avg Trade Return
-0.00%
Avg Hold Time
8.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$484,216.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-639.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-639.87
Gross Return
-6.33%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $10,105.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $572.09 17 $9,725.53 — — —
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 9:40am ET $636.62 17 $10,822.54 $10,863.82 +$1,097.01
(+11.3%) 		TRAIL_STOP
14.7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 9:30am ET $638.09 17 $10,847.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 3:15pm ET $680.95 17 $11,576.15 $11,592.43 +$728.60
(+6.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
31.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:25am ET $730.97 15 $10,964.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 11, 2025 9:40am ET $710.61 15 $10,659.12 $11,287.00 $-305.43
(-2.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
10d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 9:30am ET $698.40 16 $11,174.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2025 2:45pm ET $696.86 16 $11,149.72 $11,262.32 $-24.68
(-0.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
12.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $758.07 14 $10,612.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET $765.75 14 $10,720.50 $11,369.89 +$107.57
(+1.0%) 		TRAIL_STOP
17d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2025 9:30am ET $760.67 14 $10,649.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET $733.58 14 $10,270.12 $10,990.63 $-379.26
(-3.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 9:50am ET $739.69 14 $10,355.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $727.08 14 $10,179.12 $10,814.16 $-176.47
(-1.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
12d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $758.18 14 $10,614.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 9:50am ET $760.32 14 $10,644.48 $10,844.12 +$29.96
(+0.3%) 		TRAIL_STOP
13d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $751.42 14 $10,519.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 9:55am ET $729.58 14 $10,214.12 $10,538.36 $-305.76
(-2.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 10:10am ET $711.48 14 $9,960.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET $696.80 14 $9,755.20 $10,332.84 $-205.52
(-2.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 9:40am ET $716.22 14 $10,027.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 3:35pm ET $707.68 14 $9,907.52 $10,213.28 $-119.56
(-1.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $702.52 14 $9,835.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET $660.00 14 $9,240.00 $9,618.00 $-595.28
(-6.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 9:45am ET $658.00 14 $9,211.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 3:50pm ET $637.45 14 $8,924.28 $9,330.35 $-287.65
(-3.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
3.3d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $631.08 14 $8,835.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET $607.92 14 $8,510.88 $9,006.11 $-324.24
(-3.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $626.75 14 $8,774.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:25pm ET $604.91 14 $8,468.74 $8,700.35 $-305.76
(-3.5%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2.2d held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $604.15 14 $8,458.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:45am ET $588.99 14 $8,245.86 $8,488.11 $-212.24
(-2.5%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:05pm ET $588.26 14 $8,235.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET $650.39 14 $9,105.46 $9,357.93 +$869.82
(+10.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
19.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $643.67 14 $9,011.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET $648.67 14 $9,081.38 $9,427.93 +$70.00
(+0.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
22.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:35am ET $655.96 14 $9,183.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $638.60 14 $8,940.40 $9,184.87 $-243.05
(-2.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $649.28 14 $9,089.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:15am ET $625.83 14 $8,761.62 $8,856.57 $-328.30
(-3.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:45am ET $615.32 14 $8,614.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $605.91 14 $8,482.67 $8,724.81 $-131.76
(-1.5%) 		TRAIL_STOP
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $603.00 14 $8,442.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $730.79 14 $10,231.06 $10,513.87 +$1,789.06
(+21.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $724.20 14 $10,138.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET $696.55 14 $9,751.70 $10,126.77 $-387.10
(-3.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4d held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:35am ET $677.84 14 $9,489.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET $655.47 14 $9,176.58 $9,813.59 $-313.18
(-3.3%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2d held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $677.59 14 $9,486.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:55am ET $652.72 14 $9,138.08 $9,465.41 $-348.18
(-3.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,465.41
Net Profit/Loss: $-534.59
Total Return: -5.35%
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