Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:43:38

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.9/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
5.4/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 46.3/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 26.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,581
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,866.98
Current Value
$12,702.87
Period P&L
$1,835.91
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.65

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+14.59%
Worst Trade
-3.50%
Avg Trade Return
+3.58%
Avg Hold Time
39.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$168,783.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,835.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,835.91
Gross Return
+16.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $10,866.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $520.60 19 $9,891.40
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 9:30am ET $596.57 19 $11,334.83 $11,518.86 +$1,443.43
(+14.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 9:30am ET $599.80 19 $11,396.20
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $637.57 19 $12,113.74 $12,236.40 +$717.54
(+6.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $624.32 19 $11,861.99
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $659.82 19 $12,536.58 $12,910.99 +$674.60
(+5.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $657.14 19 $12,485.66
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET $664.50 19 $12,625.50 $13,050.83 +$139.84
(+1.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
43d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $680.06 19 $12,921.14
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $656.28 19 $12,469.32 $12,599.01 $-451.82
(-3.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
7.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $679.67 18 $12,234.06
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $694.29 18 $12,497.22 $12,862.17 +$263.16
(+2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $682.65 18 $12,287.70
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $673.80 18 $12,128.40 $12,702.87 $-159.30
(-1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,702.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,702.87
Total Return: +27.03%
Back to Lucky Strike