Compendium › Lucky Strike › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Lucky Strike's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 3 trades in period

-5.26%
Last 3 Months Return
$44,992.26
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$47,489.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:40:58

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

53
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.1/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
8.4/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 71.6/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 53.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,770
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$47,489.00
Current Value
$44,992.26
Period P&L
$-2,496.76
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+3.83%
Worst Trade
-3.18%
Avg Trade Return
+0.65%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$270,830.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,496.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,496.76
Gross Return
-5.26%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $47,489.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $367.34 120 $44,080.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $372.10 120 $44,652.00 $44,748.22 +$571.20
(+1.3%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $372.60 120 $44,712.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $386.88 120 $46,425.60 $46,461.82 +$1,713.60
(+3.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:40am ET $420.13 110 $46,214.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:40am ET $406.77 110 $44,745.25 $44,992.26 $-1,469.56
(-3.2%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $44,992.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$34,992.26
Total Return: +349.92%
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