Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:37:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

58
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.9/25
Win Rate
3.6/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 67.2/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 57.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,936
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$51,864.11
Current Value
$34,890.26
Period P&L
$-16,973.80
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.36

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
7 / 16
Best Trade
+9.20%
Worst Trade
-7.46%
Avg Trade Return
-1.61%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,385,435.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-16,973.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-16,973.80
Gross Return
-32.73%
Net Return (after fees)
-32.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $51,864.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $122.06 424 $51,753.44
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 11:05am ET $132.79 424 $56,303.51 $56,414.13 +$4,550.07
(+8.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 11:25am ET $131.10 430 $56,373.00
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET $127.71 430 $54,915.30 $54,956.43 $-1,457.70
(-2.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:00pm ET $124.91 439 $54,835.49
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET $118.70 439 $52,107.90 $52,228.84 $-2,727.59
(-5.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:25pm ET $113.96 458 $52,191.39
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 12:30pm ET $114.20 458 $52,305.84 $52,343.29 +$114.45
(+0.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:30pm ET $107.64 486 $52,310.61
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:05pm ET $106.39 486 $51,705.54 $51,738.22 $-605.07
(-1.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET $112.98 457 $51,631.86
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $123.37 457 $56,380.09 $56,486.45 +$4,748.23
(+9.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 11:20am ET $125.06 451 $56,399.81
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 9:45am ET $132.22 451 $59,631.22 $59,717.87 +$3,231.42
(+5.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 2:00pm ET $135.39 441 $59,706.28
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET $134.24 441 $59,199.84 $59,211.42 $-506.44
(-0.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $128.98 459 $59,201.82
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $125.21 459 $57,471.39 $57,480.99 $-1,730.43
(-2.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $118.68 484 $57,441.12
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET $119.90 484 $58,031.60 $58,071.47 +$590.48
(+1.0%)
TRAIL_STOP
2.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 11:00am ET $120.44 482 $58,051.31
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET $119.47 482 $57,582.13 $57,602.30 $-469.18
(-0.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
4.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET $118.90 484 $57,547.60
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 1:45pm ET $116.21 484 $56,245.64 $56,300.34 $-1,301.96
(-2.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
5.2d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $115.20 488 $56,217.60
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:15am ET $111.02 488 $54,175.32 $54,258.06 $-2,042.28
(-3.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:30am ET $121.33 447 $54,235.36
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $117.77 447 $52,643.19 $52,665.89 $-1,592.17
(-2.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:40am ET $115.35 456 $52,600.97
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:40am ET $116.06 456 $52,925.28 $52,990.19 +$324.31
(+0.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $105.79 500 $52,895.05
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET $106.22 500 $53,110.00 $53,205.14 +$214.95
(+0.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
7d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $103.35 514 $53,121.90
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 2:30pm ET $100.05 514 $51,426.21 $51,509.46 $-1,695.69
(-3.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $99.29 518 $51,432.22
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $93.50 518 $48,433.00 $48,510.24 $-2,999.22
(-5.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
2.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $88.01 551 $48,493.51
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $82.66 551 $45,545.88 $45,562.61 $-2,947.63
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $79.05 576 $45,532.80
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $74.12 576 $42,693.29 $42,723.10 $-2,839.51
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $82.99 514 $42,656.86
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $76.80 514 $39,475.20 $39,541.44 $-3,181.66
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET $75.95 520 $39,494.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:05am ET $71.35 520 $37,102.00 $37,149.44 $-2,392.00
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 1:25pm ET $75.83 489 $37,080.87
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $71.21 489 $34,821.69 $34,890.26 $-2,259.18
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $34,890.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$24,890.26
Total Return: +248.90%
Back to Lucky Strike