Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:41:11

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.9/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
0.3/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 46.8/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 34.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,519
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,669.44
Current Value
$13,692.56
Period P&L
$23.10
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
7 / 7
Best Trade
+11.27%
Worst Trade
-6.11%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$392,093.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$23.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$23.10
Gross Return
+0.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $13,669.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:30am ET $431.75 31 $13,384.25
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:50am ET $433.30 31 $13,432.30 $13,717.51 +$48.05
(+0.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 11:10am ET $427.97 32 $13,694.88
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 11:10am ET $407.09 32 $13,026.88 $13,049.51 $-668.00
(-4.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 1:20pm ET $406.25 32 $12,999.84
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:00pm ET $408.43 32 $13,069.76 $13,119.43 +$69.92
(+0.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:40am ET $401.45 32 $12,846.40
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET $411.73 32 $13,175.20 $13,448.23 +$328.80
(+2.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:20pm ET $397.00 33 $13,100.99
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:40am ET $441.74 33 $14,577.42 $14,924.66 +$1,476.43
(+11.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
16.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $446.20 33 $14,724.47
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:15am ET $445.49 33 $14,701.17 $14,901.36 $-23.30
(-0.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $467.17 31 $14,482.27
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 11:10am ET $475.17 31 $14,730.27 $15,149.36 +$248.00
(+1.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 2:30pm ET $483.91 31 $15,001.21
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 10:05am ET $480.36 31 $14,891.12 $15,039.27 $-110.09
(-0.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
5.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $463.85 32 $14,843.16
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET $452.02 32 $14,464.64 $14,660.75 $-378.52
(-2.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
2.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $439.93 33 $14,517.69
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:40am ET $437.59 33 $14,440.51 $14,583.57 $-77.18
(-0.5%)
TRAIL_STOP
8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $427.71 34 $14,541.97
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:00pm ET $435.78 34 $14,816.52 $14,858.12 +$274.55
(+1.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
6.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $431.46 34 $14,669.64
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $415.36 34 $14,122.24 $14,310.72 $-547.40
(-3.7%)
TRAIL_STOP
4.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:30am ET $413.16 34 $14,047.44
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $387.92 34 $13,189.28 $13,452.56 $-858.16
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $411.91 32 $13,181.12
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET $419.41 32 $13,421.12 $13,692.56 +$240.00
(+1.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,692.56
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,692.56
Total Return: +36.93%
Back to Lucky Strike