Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:44:11

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
7.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 18.0/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 15.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,742
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,485.72
Current Value
$10,759.32
Period P&L
$-2,726.39
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-2.97

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
0 / 6
Best Trade
-2.10%
Worst Trade
-6.04%
Avg Trade Return
-3.70%
Avg Hold Time
10.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$146,951.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,726.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,726.39
Gross Return
-20.22%
Net Return (after fees)
-20.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $13,485.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $81.36 165 $13,424.40
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $79.66 165 $13,143.08 $13,204.38 $-281.33
(-2.1%)
TRAIL_STOP
13d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $81.61 161 $13,139.21
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $78.91 161 $12,704.51 $12,769.68 $-434.70
(-3.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
5.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:30pm ET $77.07 165 $12,716.55
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $74.88 165 $12,355.20 $12,408.33 $-361.35
(-2.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $73.03 169 $12,341.23
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $69.88 169 $11,809.72 $11,876.82 $-531.51
(-4.3%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $71.68 165 $11,827.20
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:40am ET $69.08 165 $11,398.20 $11,447.82 $-429.00
(-3.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 2:25pm ET $70.31 162 $11,390.22
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:40am ET $66.06 162 $10,701.72 $10,759.32 $-688.50
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
41.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,759.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$759.32
Total Return: +7.59%
Back to Lucky Strike