Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:37:06

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

58
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.9/25
Win Rate
3.6/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 67.2/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 57.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,326
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$54,948.63
Current Value
$34,890.26
Period P&L
$-20,058.32
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.62

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
2 / 9
Best Trade
+0.62%
Worst Trade
-7.46%
Avg Trade Return
-4.23%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,046,112.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-20,058.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-20,058.32
Gross Return
-36.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-36.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $54,948.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $115.20 488 $56,217.60
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:15am ET $111.02 488 $54,175.32 $54,258.06 $-2,042.28
(-3.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:30am ET $121.33 447 $54,235.36
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $117.77 447 $52,643.19 $52,665.89 $-1,592.17
(-2.9%)
TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:40am ET $115.35 456 $52,600.97
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:40am ET $116.06 456 $52,925.28 $52,990.19 +$324.31
(+0.6%)
TRAIL_STOP
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $105.79 500 $52,895.05
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET $106.22 500 $53,110.00 $53,205.14 +$214.95
(+0.4%)
TRAIL_STOP
7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $103.35 514 $53,121.90
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 2:30pm ET $100.05 514 $51,426.21 $51,509.46 $-1,695.69
(-3.2%)
TRAIL_STOP
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $99.29 518 $51,432.22
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $93.50 518 $48,433.00 $48,510.24 $-2,999.22
(-5.8%)
TRAIL_STOP
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:50am ET $88.01 551 $48,493.51
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $82.66 551 $45,545.88 $45,562.61 $-2,947.63
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $79.05 576 $45,532.80
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET $74.12 576 $42,693.29 $42,723.10 $-2,839.51
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $82.99 514 $42,656.86
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $76.80 514 $39,475.20 $39,541.44 $-3,181.66
(-7.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET $75.95 520 $39,494.00
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:05am ET $71.35 520 $37,102.00 $37,149.44 $-2,392.00
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 1:25pm ET $75.83 489 $37,080.87
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $71.21 489 $34,821.69 $34,890.26 $-2,259.18
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $34,890.26
Net Profit/Loss: +$24,890.26
Total Return: +248.90%
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