Compendium › Lucky Strike › QQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
QQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Lucky Strike's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 30 trades executed

+39.03%
2 Years Return
$14,354.78
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$10,324.95
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:33:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 67%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
30.5/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
5.7/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 58.6/100
× Confidence 0.67 = 39.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (67%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
87,960
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,324.95
Current Value
$14,354.78
Total P&L
$4,029.82
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
27
Winners / Losers
14 / 13
Best Trade
+20.04%
Worst Trade
-4.63%
Avg Trade Return
+1.59%
Avg Hold Time
20d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$641,761.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,029.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,029.82
Gross Return
+39.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+39.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $10,324.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2024 9:30am ET $418.29 23 $9,620.67 — — —
🔴 SELL May 31, 2024 12:25pm ET $443.52 23 $10,200.96 $10,413.04 +$580.29
(+6.0%) 		TRAIL_STOP
36.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2024 9:30am ET $487.66 21 $10,240.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2024 10:00am ET $470.43 21 $9,879.01 $10,051.30 $-361.75
(-3.5%) 		TRAIL_STOP
7d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 25, 2024 3:50pm ET $458.99 21 $9,638.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2024 1:35pm ET $457.69 21 $9,611.49 $10,023.96 $-27.34
(-0.3%) 		TRAIL_STOP
6.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $427.61 23 $9,835.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2024 10:30am ET $467.86 23 $10,760.78 $10,949.71 +$925.75
(+9.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
29d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 6, 2024 9:35am ET $457.53 23 $10,523.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2024 9:35am ET $494.21 23 $11,366.72 $11,793.23 +$843.53
(+8.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2024 9:30am ET $493.19 23 $11,343.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 11:55am ET $496.62 23 $11,422.26 $11,872.12 +$78.89
(+0.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
23.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2024 9:30am ET $497.45 23 $11,441.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET $517.79 23 $11,909.17 $12,339.94 +$467.82
(+4.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
29.3d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 20, 2024 9:30am ET $510.30 24 $12,247.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2024 10:20am ET $512.10 24 $12,290.40 $12,383.26 +$43.32
(+0.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
10d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2025 10:00am ET $521.03 23 $11,983.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2025 9:30am ET $501.20 23 $11,527.60 $11,927.17 $-456.09
(-3.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2025 9:30am ET $529.26 22 $11,643.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2025 9:30am ET $513.67 22 $11,300.74 $11,584.19 $-342.98
(-2.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2025 1:00pm ET $517.29 22 $11,380.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2025 10:00am ET $512.41 22 $11,273.02 $11,476.83 $-107.36
(-0.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2025 9:30am ET $521.69 21 $10,955.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2025 10:00am ET $521.53 21 $10,952.13 $11,473.47 $-3.36
(-0.0%) 		TRAIL_STOP
19d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2025 10:00am ET $509.29 22 $11,204.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 3:25pm ET $495.12 22 $10,892.54 $11,161.63 $-311.84
(-2.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
4.2d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 3:50pm ET $495.28 22 $10,896.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 10:30am ET $485.11 22 $10,672.42 $10,937.89 $-223.74
(-2.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
2.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 10:55am ET $469.73 23 $10,803.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 28, 2025 10:05am ET $476.11 23 $10,950.52 $11,084.62 +$146.73
(+1.4%) 		TRAIL_STOP
17d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $459.53 24 $11,028.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $438.27 24 $10,518.49 $10,574.39 $-510.23
(-4.6%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $408.02 25 $10,200.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2025 12:55pm ET $426.38 25 $10,659.50 $11,033.39 +$459.00
(+4.5%) 		TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 10:10am ET $449.52 24 $10,788.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 1:30pm ET $446.24 24 $10,709.76 $10,954.67 $-78.72
(-0.7%) 		TRAIL_STOP
6.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $438.73 24 $10,529.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 11:15am ET $526.64 24 $12,639.24 $13,064.39 +$2,109.72
(+20.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
43.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 3:15pm ET $523.61 24 $12,566.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 9:30am ET $563.14 24 $13,515.36 $14,013.11 +$948.72
(+7.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
45.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $557.10 25 $13,927.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET $562.13 25 $14,053.25 $14,138.86 +$125.75
(+0.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
19d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET $574.35 24 $13,784.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 3:35pm ET $590.83 24 $14,179.92 $14,534.38 +$395.52
(+2.9%) 		TRAIL_STOP
42.3d held
23 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $593.41 24 $14,241.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET $614.23 24 $14,741.52 $15,034.06 +$499.68
(+3.5%) 		TRAIL_STOP
23.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $616.52 24 $14,796.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:55am ET $594.86 24 $14,276.64 $14,514.22 $-519.84
(-3.5%) 		TRAIL_STOP
5d held
25 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $595.77 24 $14,298.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:40am ET $606.50 24 $14,556.03 $14,771.90 +$257.67
(+1.8%) 		TRAIL_STOP
26.9d held
26 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET $620.45 23 $14,270.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $613.73 23 $14,115.79 $14,617.34 $-154.56
(-1.1%) 		TRAIL_STOP
36.2d held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $601.21 24 $14,429.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $590.27 24 $14,166.48 $14,354.78 $-262.56
(-1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
46d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,354.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,354.78
Total Return: +43.55%
Back to Lucky Strike