SLV Lucky Strike's Analysis
to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 55 trades executed
+237.69%
2 Years Return
$42,003.96
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$12,438.75
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
50
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.8/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
11.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality
79.0/100
× Confidence 0.64
= 50.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
82,202
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$12,438.75
Current Value
$42,003.96
Total P&L
$29,565.23
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
51
Winners / Losers
28 /
23
Best Trade
+22.75%
Worst Trade
-10.58%
Avg Trade Return
+2.74%
Avg Hold Time
9.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,201,708.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$29,565.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$29,565.23
Gross Return
+237.69%
Net Return (after fees)
+237.69%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Lucky Strike had $12,438.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 2, 2024 9:30am ET | $24.02 | 499 | $11,985.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2024 9:55am ET | $28.88 | 499 | $14,411.12 | $14,427.26 |
+$2,425.19 (+20.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2024 11:45am ET | $28.93 | 498 | $14,405.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2024 2:25pm ET | $28.22 | 498 | $14,053.51 | $14,075.62 |
$-351.64 (-2.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 29, 2024 9:30am ET | $29.04 | 484 | $14,055.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2024 3:20pm ET | $28.41 | 484 | $13,748.17 | $13,768.43 |
$-307.19 (-2.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.2d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2024 9:30am ET | $27.14 | 507 | $13,759.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 7, 2024 9:30am ET | $27.08 | 507 | $13,729.56 | $13,738.01 |
$-30.42 (-0.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2024 9:30am ET | $26.67 | 515 | $13,735.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2024 10:10am ET | $26.57 | 515 | $13,683.55 | $13,686.51 |
$-51.50 (-0.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
2d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $26.90 | 508 | $13,665.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 21, 2024 9:50am ET | $27.13 | 508 | $13,779.50 | $13,800.81 |
+$114.30 (+0.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2024 9:30am ET | $26.75 | 515 | $13,776.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2024 10:10am ET | $27.89 | 515 | $14,363.30 | $14,387.86 |
+$587.05 (+4.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
22d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 19, 2024 9:30am ET | $26.48 | 543 | $14,378.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2024 9:30am ET | $25.24 | 543 | $13,702.61 | $13,711.82 |
$-676.04 (-4.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2024 11:15am ET | $24.94 | 549 | $13,689.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 2, 2024 11:10am ET | $25.54 | 549 | $14,021.46 | $14,043.97 |
+$332.15 (+2.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $24.51 | 572 | $14,020.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2024 3:25pm ET | $26.26 | 572 | $15,023.07 | $15,046.28 |
+$1,002.32 (+7.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
16.2d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2024 10:00am ET | $27.28 | 551 | $15,031.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 30, 2024 10:30am ET | $26.42 | 551 | $14,557.42 | $14,572.42 |
$-473.86 (-3.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 6, 2024 9:35am ET | $26.11 | 558 | $14,566.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2024 3:05pm ET | $27.47 | 558 | $15,325.47 | $15,331.30 |
+$758.88 (+5.2%) |
TRAIL_STOP
12.2d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2024 9:30am ET | $28.17 | 544 | $15,324.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 30, 2024 9:35am ET | $28.38 | 544 | $15,436.11 | $15,442.93 |
+$111.63 (+0.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 4, 2024 10:20am ET | $29.03 | 531 | $15,414.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 7, 2024 10:55am ET | $28.74 | 531 | $15,260.94 | $15,288.94 |
$-153.99 (-1.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 8, 2024 11:05am ET | $27.75 | 550 | $15,262.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2024 10:10am ET | $30.67 | 550 | $16,865.75 | $16,892.25 |
+$1,603.31 (+10.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
15d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 30, 2024 9:30am ET | $30.54 | 553 | $16,885.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 31, 2024 10:00am ET | $29.81 | 553 | $16,482.17 | $16,488.56 |
$-403.69 (-2.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 1, 2024 10:40am ET | $29.63 | 556 | $16,474.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET | $28.12 | 556 | $15,634.72 | $15,649.00 |
$-839.56 (-5.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 8, 2024 10:05am ET | $28.65 | 546 | $15,642.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2024 3:20pm ET | $27.67 | 546 | $15,109.46 | $15,115.55 |
$-533.44 (-3.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5.2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2024 9:30am ET | $28.37 | 532 | $15,092.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2024 10:00am ET | $27.54 | 532 | $14,649.42 | $14,672.13 |
$-443.42 (-2.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
5d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 27, 2024 10:00am ET | $27.61 | 531 | $14,658.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2024 10:10am ET | $28.33 | 531 | $15,043.23 | $15,057.00 |
+$384.87 (+2.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
15d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2024 9:30am ET | $27.66 | 544 | $15,047.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2024 3:35pm ET | $26.82 | 544 | $14,590.08 | $14,600.04 |
$-456.96 (-3.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.3d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 27, 2024 9:30am ET | $26.88 | 543 | $14,595.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2025 10:55am ET | $26.91 | 543 | $14,609.42 | $14,613.62 |
+$13.58 (+0.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
17.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.52 | 531 | $14,613.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2025 12:00pm ET | $27.10 | 531 | $14,390.10 | $14,390.60 |
$-223.02 (-1.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
10.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2025 11:05am ET | $29.39 | 489 | $14,371.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2025 9:50am ET | $29.09 | 489 | $14,222.57 | $14,241.45 |
$-149.15 (-1.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
19.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2025 9:45am ET | $28.64 | 497 | $14,234.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 21, 2025 9:35am ET | $30.04 | 497 | $14,929.88 | $14,937.25 |
+$695.80 (+4.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
22d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 28, 2025 10:30am ET | $31.09 | 480 | $14,923.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.98 | 480 | $13,908.00 | $13,922.05 |
$-1,015.20 (-6.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.86 | 499 | $13,901.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2025 9:55am ET | $29.52 | 499 | $14,728.71 | $14,749.37 |
+$827.31 (+6.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
26d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $29.77 | 495 | $14,733.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.67 | 495 | $16,169.18 | $16,184.87 |
+$1,435.50 (+9.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
44d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.49 | 498 | $16,180.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 25, 2025 11:30am ET | $34.64 | 498 | $17,248.23 | $17,253.08 |
+$1,068.21 (+6.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
31.1d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.18 | 504 | $17,226.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.27 | 504 | $19,288.08 | $19,314.44 |
+$2,061.36 (+12.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
47d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.08 | 507 | $19,308.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 2, 2025 10:50am ET | $41.75 | 507 | $21,167.25 | $21,172.84 |
+$1,858.41 (+9.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
15.1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 6, 2025 12:10pm ET | $43.89 | 482 | $21,152.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 12:30pm ET | $44.08 | 482 | $21,246.56 | $21,266.83 |
+$93.99 (+0.4%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 3:35pm ET | $47.04 | 452 | $21,262.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $47.20 | 452 | $21,334.40 | $21,339.11 |
+$72.27 (+0.3%) |
TRAIL_STOP
3.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.90 | 475 | $21,325.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 10:20am ET | $43.69 | 475 | $20,752.75 | $20,766.73 |
$-572.38 (-2.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.93 | 483 | $20,732.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.71 | 483 | $20,630.96 | $20,664.92 |
$-101.82 (-0.5%) |
TRAIL_STOP
8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET | $47.78 | 432 | $20,640.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:40am ET | $46.03 | 432 | $19,884.96 | $19,908.92 |
$-756.00 (-3.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 2:30pm ET | $45.52 | 437 | $19,891.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:05pm ET | $45.78 | 437 | $20,003.68 | $20,021.18 |
+$112.27 (+0.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.88 | 446 | $20,016.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $51.21 | 446 | $22,837.43 | $22,842.13 |
+$2,820.95 (+14.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
13d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:10am ET | $52.71 | 433 | $22,821.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $56.30 | 433 | $24,377.90 | $24,398.77 |
+$1,556.64 (+6.8%) |
TRAIL_STOP
7d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $57.81 | 422 | $24,395.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 1:15pm ET | $69.42 | 422 | $29,295.24 | $29,298.19 |
+$4,899.42 (+20.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
10.2d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 1:20pm ET | $64.50 | 454 | $29,283.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $66.21 | 454 | $30,059.29 | $30,074.48 |
+$776.29 (+2.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.8d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $66.15 | 454 | $30,029.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.07 | 454 | $31,813.37 | $31,858.02 |
+$1,783.54 (+5.9%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.43 | 472 | $31,827.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $82.77 | 472 | $39,067.44 | $39,097.56 |
+$7,239.54 (+22.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.37 | 480 | $39,057.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.90 | 480 | $38,829.60 | $38,869.56 |
$-228.00 (-0.6%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET | $84.39 | 460 | $38,819.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $101.54 | 460 | $46,706.10 | $46,756.17 |
+$7,886.61 (+20.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:10am ET | $95.71 | 488 | $46,704.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 1:40pm ET | $100.61 | 488 | $49,095.24 | $49,147.37 |
+$2,391.20 (+5.1%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1.1d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 2:10pm ET | $102.08 | 481 | $49,100.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $91.28 | 481 | $43,905.68 | $43,952.57 |
$-5,194.80 (-10.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.44 | 590 | $43,919.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $69.46 | 590 | $40,981.40 | $41,014.30 |
$-2,938.26 (-6.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:50am ET | $78.72 | 521 | $41,013.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:50am ET | $77.35 | 521 | $40,299.35 | $40,300.59 |
$-713.72 (-1.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $68.89 | 584 | $40,234.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:40am ET | $73.04 | 584 | $42,655.30 | $42,721.21 |
+$2,420.62 (+6.0%) |
TRAIL_STOP
4.9d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 11:00am ET | $75.25 | 567 | $42,663.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:05am ET | $73.98 | 567 | $41,946.66 | $42,003.96 |
$-717.25 (-1.7%) |
TRAIL_STOP
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$42,003.96
Net Profit/Loss:
+$32,003.96
Total Return:
+320.04%