Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-23 17:05:57

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 20.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 19.7

30-Day Momentum

7
-7.5%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,533.83
Current Value
$11,593.87
Period P&L
$-939.96
Max Drawdown
-32.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
2 / 7
Best Trade
+7.59%
Worst Trade
-5.68%
Avg Trade Return
-0.80%
Avg Hold Time
4.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$226,093.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-939.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$-939.96
Gross Return
-7.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $12,533.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $317.99 39 $12,401.61
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $342.11 39 $13,342.48 $13,474.71 +$940.88
(+7.6%)
TREND_BREAK
5.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $395.64 34 $13,451.76
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:00pm ET $409.62 34 $13,927.08 $13,950.03 +$475.32
(+3.5%)
TREND_BREAK
4.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $408.96 34 $13,904.81
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $385.72 34 $13,114.48 $13,159.70 $-790.33
(-5.7%)
TREND_BREAK
19.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:10am ET $359.10 36 $12,927.60
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 12:35pm ET $350.97 36 $12,634.92 $12,867.02 $-292.68
(-2.3%)
TREND_BREAK
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $326.87 39 $12,747.77
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:55am ET $320.74 39 $12,508.86 $12,628.11 $-238.91
(-1.9%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:55am ET $324.60 38 $12,334.80
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $323.26 38 $12,283.69 $12,577.00 $-51.11
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $389.84 32 $12,474.88
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $372.23 32 $11,911.52 $12,013.64 $-563.36
(-4.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:40am ET $424.41 28 $11,883.48
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:30am ET $411.13 28 $11,511.50 $11,641.66 $-371.98
(-3.1%)
TREND_BREAK
50m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:35am ET $421.85 27 $11,389.95
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $420.08 27 $11,342.16 $11,593.87 $-47.79
(-0.4%)
TREND_BREAK
3.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,593.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,593.87
Total Return: +15.94%
Back to Trent Follower