Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:25:34

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 20.2/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 18.6

30-Day Momentum

3
-5.5%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,312.36
Current Value
$11,636.24
Period P&L
$-676.09
Max Drawdown
-15.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.88

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
1 / 5
Best Trade
+0.91%
Worst Trade
-2.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.96%
Avg Hold Time
3.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$139,209.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-676.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-676.09
Gross Return
-5.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $12,312.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $427.39 28 $11,967.06
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $422.06 28 $11,817.68 $12,162.95 $-149.38
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:40am ET $441.23 27 $11,913.21
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $439.10 27 $11,855.70 $12,105.44 $-57.51
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $488.34 24 $11,720.16
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $478.69 24 $11,488.56 $11,873.84 $-231.60
(-2.0%)
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $426.00 27 $11,502.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $415.68 27 $11,223.36 $11,595.20 $-278.64
(-2.4%)
TREND_BREAK
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $395.25 29 $11,462.25
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:05pm ET $393.11 29 $11,400.05 $11,533.00 $-62.20
(-0.5%)
TREND_BREAK
5.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $392.35 29 $11,378.15
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:45pm ET $395.91 29 $11,481.39 $11,636.24 +$103.24
(+0.9%)
TREND_BREAK
4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,636.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,636.24
Total Return: +16.36%
Back to Trent Follower