Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:32:32

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
0.4/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 24.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 24.3

30-Day Momentum

2
-2.4%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,151.94
Current Value
$14,789.39
Period P&L
$-362.51
Max Drawdown
-42.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+4.14%
Worst Trade
-3.37%
Avg Trade Return
-0.46%
Avg Hold Time
2.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$151,912.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-362.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-362.51
Gross Return
-2.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $15,151.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 11:15am ET $188.29 80 $15,063.20
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $188.64 80 $15,091.20 $15,179.90 +$28.00
(+0.2%)
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $155.72 97 $15,104.84
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $162.16 97 $15,729.52 $15,804.58 +$624.68
(+4.1%)
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $160.27 98 $15,706.47
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $156.96 98 $15,382.08 $15,480.19 $-324.39
(-2.1%)
TREND_BREAK
2.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:05am ET $164.85 93 $15,331.05
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $159.29 93 $14,813.97 $14,963.11 $-517.08
(-3.4%)
TREND_BREAK
55m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:00pm ET $173.63 86 $14,932.18
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $171.61 86 $14,758.46 $14,789.39 $-173.72
(-1.2%)
TREND_BREAK
1.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,789.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,789.39
Total Return: +47.89%
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